NL200 Fold the river ?

[Tib]

Vilain is a donk 20/0/1 so is this a fold ?
put him on Kx but maybe it's too restrictive

Party Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $76.10
BB: $216.29
UTG: $282.85
Hero (CO): $257.81
BTN: $606.70

Pre-Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $6, BB folds

Flop: ($16) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $2</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, SB calls $10

Turn: ($40) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $20</font>, SB calls $20

River: ($80) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $37.10 and is All-In</font>

[myke11]

bet more on the turn!

[stickdude]

How many hands are those stats over? I hate folding this given the odds we're getting here, but with an AF of 1, it's pretty likely he has the King.

[Tib]

Not many hand, a little above 50

[stickdude]

[ QUOTE ]
bet more on the turn!

[/ QUOTE ]

Good point. A $30 turn bet makes the river a no-brainer call.

[TPTK77]

I hate the spot that you're in. I'd like a fold. And yes... bet more on the turn.

[Tib]

On turn he has only 57 left so my plan was 20 and 40 on river.. the King was the only card that I don't want to see!

[theplux]

i fold this river unf :\

[sh58]

if you had bet a decent amount on the turn the river would not involve a decision.

as played, i think he has a king alot of the time, but does he have a hand that beats ours 75%+ of the time. i think i call this expecting to lose and gaining a bit of information as well

[ProkkeR]

i call 100% and he has the K 80%