Bluffing....Bluffing.....Bluffing... FULL HOUSE! Now what?

Acemanhattan · #1 10-28-2007, 04:41 PM

Villian is playing 14/12 over 230 hands I am playing 24/20ish any value in betting the river?

MP: $243.70
CO: $275.10
BTN: $115.80
Hero (SB): $238.70
BB: $192.65
UTG: $212

Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, BTN calls $2, Hero raises to $10, BB calls $8, BTN folds

Flop: ($22) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero bets $14, BB calls $14

Turn: ($50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero bets $38, BB calls $38

River: ($126) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero.....???

luvetoholdem · #2 10-28-2007, 04:42 PM

I might c/c here.

spivey · #3 10-28-2007, 04:43 PM

No. Check and expect to lose.

Imrahil · #4 10-28-2007, 04:48 PM

Ohhh BB cc your raise. C/f.

hotbacon · #5 10-28-2007, 04:51 PM

turn bet sucks, c/f river

dbc · #6 10-28-2007, 04:54 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Ohhh BB cc your raise. C/f.

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree, i don't think a 14/12 is going to be vb'ing worse and definitely never bluffing on the river...

ProkkeR · #7 10-28-2007, 04:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
turn bet sucks, c/f river

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loosbastard · #8 10-28-2007, 04:57 PM

[ QUOTE ]
turn bet sucks, c/f river

[/ QUOTE ]

Acemanhattan · #9 10-28-2007, 05:08 PM

[ QUOTE ]
turn bet sucks, c/f river

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Sure out of context a turn bet sucks, like if we just woke up in the middle of the hand with 78s and decided to fire this that would be bad. But thats not what happened, I think that his range is pretty face up here, and I would be suprised if anyone thought otherwise. Against his range, we prob have 12% equity at best on the turn. If we check the turn we get to showdown WAAY to often with a bad hand and lose. On the same note, his hand absolutley does not look strong, he is of course going to have JJ 99 and AT here some portion of the time, which he is never folding, but I certainly think: 3 barreling him off of 22-66/77/88 has a ton of expected value. Essentially the only cards I would check on the river are an 8 and a 7

hotbacon · #10 10-28-2007, 05:42 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
turn bet sucks, c/f river

[/ QUOTE ]
Sure out of context a turn bet sucks, like if we just woke up in the middle of the hand with 78s and decided to fire this that would be bad. But thats not what happened, I think that his range is pretty face up here, and I would be suprised if anyone thought otherwise. Against his range, we prob have 12% equity at best on the turn. If we check the turn we get to showdown WAAY to often with a bad hand and lose. On the same note, his hand absolutley does not look strong, he is of course going to have JJ 99 and AT here some portion of the time, which he is never folding, but I certainly think: 3 barreling him off of 22-66/77/88 has a ton of expected value. Essentially the only cards I would check on the river are an 8 and a 7

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what

his range is pocket pairs, particularly 77+. no reason to try and bluff a guy off a full house