#1
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50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
Villian is 50/10/0.5 after 400 hands.
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) SB: $50.00 BB: $153.75 UTG: $157.45 CO: $50.00 Hero (BTN): $188.60 Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players) 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, SB folds, BB calls $1.25 Flop: ($3.75) 3 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, BB calls $3.00 Turn: ($9.75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $14.00</font>, Hero calls $7.00 River: ($37.75) K (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $37.75</font>, <font color="red">Hero? |
#2
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
Push. All kinds of worse 2pair and set hands, a straight is only a small portion of his range.
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#3
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
River is your dream card. Beat him into the pot...
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#4
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
This is tougher than it seems. I'd probably shove, but I think you can argue for just calling. His aggression factor is really low and 76 is solidly in his range. Certainly you don't want to raise anything smaller than a shove and folding isn't an option. I guess it depends on how you think he views you.
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#5
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
This is really ugly. What do you beat here?
AA, AK, 99, 88, 55 All of these are in his range... I would say just call though. Something is just screaming straight here, but I wouldn't be able to fold in this situation. Pot sized bet. Not a value bet... kind of has me confused. I'd be interested in what he actually had. |
#6
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
Basically, you need to ask yourself if 67 constitutes more than 50% of villain's calling range.
67= 16 ways 33/99/88/55 = 12 ways 89 = 9 ways Even if you take away the unlikely 55, villain is only winning 44.4444% of the time he calls. Pushing is +EV. |
#7
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
You're both 3 BI deep and he's a fish, you gotta have a better read than this.
Readless I shove and I don't think that it's huge +EV but it's some. |
#8
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
The 5 obviously helped him with the donkey min-raise on the turn. How often do you see a turn min-raise over a flop min-raise?
Awkward position here but I would just call if I didn't have any solid examples of villians PSB's or similar turn plays, him being overly nitty also leans me towards calling. |
#9
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
Also I would´t discount AA, which he obviously will call a push with. There is just so many hands that he will play like this that a player of his caliber will consider the nuts that not pushing would be kind of lame.
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#10
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Re: 50NL: 300BB Deep w/ KK
fold turn vs such player
as played i shove river |
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