#2
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Re: Overcards/flush draw facing a flop raise on paired board
I think there's a couple of ranges you can put your opponent on with this hand with some evaluation. If he's raising on you with an overpair to the board (99/TT/JJ most likely because I think he would've raised PF with QQ, KK, and AA) then that's 6 more outs to your hand plus the 9 for the nut flush draw. At this point, you'll have the statistical advantage in the hand but not by much. The pot is laying you about 3 to 2 on your money so I think the call is a must here to see the turn. Depending on the turn, I think you can decide your course of action.
Now, I'm going to continue with putting him on a small-mid pocket pair because that's usually the play people make with those hands (open limp, call a raise with set equity). If he flopped a boat or, dare I say it, quads, then you're a huge underdog, and maybe drawing dead with the latter scenario. Under these two circumstances, I think that the viable option would be to call and see the turn, given the pot odds, implied odds, and your hand value. This way, it'll probably be easier for you to make the decision on whether to move forward with the hand without having to completely stack off against UTG. |
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