100NL getting tricky with 99

[Das Budrick]

UTG is TAG, 16/12/4
button is a very sloppy 40/14/6

I call preflop both times for set value

button's cbet seemed to indicate weakness so i check raised

Full Tilt Poker Game #4203367386: Table Anasazi - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 5:53:23 ET - 2007/11/17
Seat 1: Roon2020 ($172.65)
Seat 2: flomoo ($18.50)
Seat 3: William Zei ($115.65)
Seat 4: letsgoplay ($122.70)
Seat 5: grackle ($45.10)
Seat 6: Bocker ($66.20)
Seat 7: eEYEeEYEo ($100)
Seat 8: faded umbra ($100)
Seat 9: mookymcmookster ($250.60)
grackle posts the small blind of $0.50
Bocker has 5 seconds left to act
Bocker posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to faded umbra [9c 9d]
eEYEeEYEo raises to $3.50
grackle: 79 to win 3?
faded umbra calls $3.50
mookymcmookster folds
Roon2020 folds
flomoo folds
William Zei folds
letsgoplay raises to $14
grackle folds
Bocker folds
eEYEeEYEo has 15 seconds left to act
eEYEeEYEo calls $10.50
faded umbra calls $10.50
*** FLOP *** [5d Ah 7s]
eEYEeEYEo checks
faded umbra checks
letsgoplay bets $15
eEYEeEYEo folds
eEYEeEYEo adds $14
faded umbra raises to $45

[Das Budrick]

hand isnt converted bc i can't find a workable converter for the life of me and I'm sick of looking

[AllTheCheese]

Fold flop.

LOL @ "79 to win 3" I'm guessing someone open-shoved the hand before.

[Das Budrick]

bump

[EPiPeN11]

You aren't getting good set value for the record. I do like the flop though as long as you shut it down if called unless u spike a 9.

[Das Budrick]

[ QUOTE ]
I do like the flop though as long as you shut it down if called unless u spike a 9.

[/ QUOTE ]

that was basically the plan

[Grinding2Ecstasy]

I dont understand the flop play is it just because he led light? ... this hand seems like spew to me, I know if he calls/raises I am like wtf how did I just blow 50BB speculating with 99, and why did I try to bluff a donk.

[EPiPeN11]

[ QUOTE ]
I dont understand the flop play ... this hand seems like spew to me

[/ QUOTE ]

He should fold out KK, QQ, JJ, AJ or worse. Folds out AQ some of the time. AK, AA and a 2pair/set are the only hands that call and all of these hands are more unlikley due to an ace hitting the flop as is. Most people also don't squeeze with 77/55, they call for set value.

EDIT: I didn't see that he bet for like 1/3rd of the pot, I prob fold, a lot of times he has a monster and is milking you. If he had bet 1/2-2/3rd of the pot I would like it a lot more plus there is even more money in the pot to win and his hand is more likley to fold esp since your line looks stronger too and his hand is prob weaker.

[Das Budrick]

his 1/3 pot cbet screamed weakness to me. He's a very aggressive player so he feels compelled to cbet even if he's raising preflop with a mediocre hand, but if he's got a real hand he's gonna make a real cbet. the bet seemed like it represented a whiffed hand that still wanted to try to take it down.

[EPiPeN11]

[ QUOTE ]
his 1/3 pot cbet screamed weakness to me. He's a very aggressive player so he feels compelled to cbet even if he's raising preflop with a mediocre hand, but if he's got a real hand he's gonna make a real cbet. the bet seemed like it represented a whiffed hand that still wanted to try to take it down.

[/ QUOTE ]

A lot of players do this to milk/pretend they are weak. Obv it is player dependant, in general though I think a ton more players make small bets like that with monsters than when they are weak.