those sick break even stretches

[Shizzle12345]

Im currently playing 100NL. I got like 15k hands in so far, not much really. But i ran well. Then i proceed to read the forum, and read about pple killing the game for 100k hands and more, and then breaking even for 50K+ hands. That kinda stuff scares me, and i always wonder, will it happen to me? And how much does luck have to do with it?

So for you mathematics, is it likely that i run good the next 100K hands or so and then suddenl have a sick sick break even stretch?? That is if my edge is just as big as the last 100k hands, and not start tilting all the time and all.

I dont think i can handle breaking even for that long and keep playing well.

[Doug Funnie II]

I'm no mathematic, but I'd say it's unlikely but not unreasonable.

[Shizzle12345]

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I'm no mathematic, but I'd say it's unlikely but not unreasonable.

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so there is a small change? I want to hear, its impossible [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] .

[infinity235]

This belongs to BBV or probability.

[snakekilla88]

The higher you play, the tougher it gets and the more likely you will have longer periods of break even poker. Since you play 100nl, a 50k break even stretch is highly unlikely (unless you play bad obviously) but a 20k break even stretch is not out of the question.

I am pulling these numbers below based on personal experience so dont look to far into them.

When worst comes to worst considering you grind these cash game levels a significant amount you can expect;

40k+ Break even at 200nl
60k+ break even at 600nl
80k+ break even at 1knl