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#14
06-26-2006, 10:18 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
[ QUOTE ]
I do not have easy access to books like "Kill Phil" right now, as I am in a remote location. [/ QUOTE ] The Taleban, faced with declining poppy harvests, is turning to online poker as a means of financing its operations. 
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#15
06-26-2006, 10:27 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I have come in 4th place a whole bunch.. [/ QUOTE ] Standard [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I also come in 4th alot. It seems there is two options, lots of 1st's and 4th's or lots of 3rd's.
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#16
06-26-2006, 10:42 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
[ QUOTE ]
Well, I've decided to focus my attention on STT's, I started at the $11 on party. I quickly jumped up over 60 buyins!! This was awesome. I felt like I had a 14 inch penis, I could not be touched, I am the next Doyle Brunson. I was having a blast, playing usually only 2 tables at a time, enjoying a 60% ROI for my first 100 or so tourneys!! In my mind, I wasn't getting lucky, my hands were just holding up, and the fish were getting punished.. Well the last week and a half has been HORRIFIC. At one point I was down 40 buyins!! I have lost more hands than I could ever imagine where I was a 85%+ fav. on the flop.. Over pairs losing to 5 outers, multiple runner runner hands.. Whatever, you've all been through it, but WOW!! I keep telling myself it's gonna get better, but holy crap!! One problem is that i haven't been playing at the best times, and my internet connection konks out sometimes at key points in tourneys.. These things suck, and can be expensive. I have donated some chips here and there where I won't let go of TPTK even though I "know" he's got the big over pair, or has me outkicked.. Anyway, I think my biggest leak is coming down at the wire. I have come in 4th place a whole bunch.. It seems like sometimes I'm not bullying when I'm the big stack, and when i'm sort of in the middle, perhaps I'm playing a bit too tight. I've been reading this forum a bit now, and it seems like the general advice is to keep pushing in LOW M situations.. Perhaps I've just been getting unlucky there, but it seems like this has not been too profitable.. I've read HOH2, but do not have a copy handy now, as its at my parents house.. I do not have easy access to books like "Kill Phil" right now, as I am in a remote location. But, any pointers y'all could give me on the end-game would be appreciated. TYVM, Beer$$ [/ QUOTE ] <font color="black"> </font> i haven't been playing at the best times <font color="red"> </font> when is the best times to play?
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#17
06-26-2006, 10:46 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
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#18
06-26-2006, 11:34 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I do not have easy access to books like "Kill Phil" right now, as I am in a remote location. [/ QUOTE ] The Taleban, faced with declining poppy harvests, is turning to online poker as a means of financing its operations. [/ QUOTE ] Do you want the knowledge contained in Kill Phil in the hands of the Taliban and Al Qaeda?
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#19
06-26-2006, 11:46 PM
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Re: OT.. Holy COW, Variance is a Monster!!
a) at the levels you and i play (ie, $11s) i reckon that big downswings are due far more often to poor play than to variance. of course, i have no independent verification of this, and it is only a feeling, but it inspires me to try harder to concentrate.
b) variance is not a monster. variance is wonderful. variance is the only reason that this game is profitable. if poor players *never* won, they would not play the game. we would thus be a lot poorer. c) there is a thread that shows large sample sized statistics over a variety of time slots. you could search for it, but the short version is: "early evening gives a good player the highest ROI" (more chumps, less 8+ tabling pros)
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