#11
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Re: Yet More CP2-7 Hands
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I was surprised to see the *boats* at 64% instead of 74%, is that right? [/ QUOTE ] Err, sorry. Completely missed what you where getting at. The right number is really 64%. Sixes full would normally only be 70th percentile in back, but when we take the dead cards (from our hand) into account our opponent will have a better hand 36% of the time: <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> full house Fives full , 2077 , 0.642789 full house Nines full , 7666 , 0.703015 full house Jacks full , 9208 , 0.775356 full house Queens full , 9333 , 0.848679 full house Kings full , 9034 , 0.919653 full house Aces full , 2869 , 0.942193 quad Deuces , 1073 , 0.950623 quad Threes , 1059 , 0.958943 quad Nines , 998 , 0.966783 quad Jacks , 981 , 0.974491 quad Queens , 1012 , 0.982441 quad Kings , 975 , 0.990101 straight flush Six-high , 217 , 0.991806 straight flush Jack-high , 198 , 0.993361 straight flush Queen-high , 174 , 0.994728 straight flush King-high , 399 , 0.997863 straight flush Ace-high , 272 , 1.000000 </pre><hr /> [/ QUOTE ] I find this short table very philosophically significant. I am shocked to see 9s full at 70% as opposed to its usual 80%. It sort of quantifies how drastically the hand values change based on the cards you have in your hand. If realizing there is a shift in values is step 1, then certainly quantifying it is step 2. I would love to see more little tables like this one, where we can see the skew in one (or more) of the expected distributions of the opponents three hands based on the cards we hold. Any more interesting examples? Extreme examples? Examples with almost no skew? I always feel like have a long flush or a short suit makes it more likely for my opponent to have a flush in back... how right or wrong am I? How much does the front skew when we have no aces? Thanks! |
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