Straight vs Possible Full House

[rwdvc]

I have 600 hands on my villain playing 19/12/2.3. I'm probably getting a little out of line but not much. So on the river he bets out for the first time which is odd. He doesn't seem like a big bluffer with his play so far. So I guess the question is am I good here more than 1/3 of the time, and would you have played the hand differently?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $39.10
MP: $14.90
CO: $32.80
Hero (BTN): $24.65
SB: $12.60
BB: $26.60

Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, SB folds, BB calls $0.75, UTG calls $0.75

Flop: ($3.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.20</font>, BB calls $2.20, UTG calls $2.20

Turn: ($9.70) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6.10</font>, BB calls $6.10, UTG folds

River: ($21.90) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $17.30 and is All-In</font>

[Micro Donk]

id say youre good more than 1/3 the time. JT, QJ got there, which we most likely would have heard from on the flop or turn. AK is probably reraising you pre, and id imagine K9 would have raised at least the turn...

i cant see a hand that beats you that make total sense...

[sean457j]

I think you should bet more on the flop and the turn. If a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9, K or Ace appears then your action could be killed, or else you could end up in trouble. I think you need to make the other two people in the pot pay more to see further streets.

[TheWorstPlayer]

definitely call. you'll see trips a lot. KJ/J9. sure you'll lose a lot, but probably only 50-60%.

[infinity235]

Wow... This thread title sucks... There are way more hands villain could have that are not full houses, so it's possible, but it's so unlikely that its barely worth mentioning here. You are being results-oriented and this sucks.

[ceavou22]

I agree you will be ahead of trips here alot, KJ, AJ will take this line by villain alot.

[patrick10]

definately call

flop bet is fine
if anything maybe bet a bit more on the turn, the villain doesn't seem like a donk, plays 19/12 (though he is in the BB). Alot of his range here would be broadway cards including: 2 pairs, straights; Pair-Top kicker hands; Pair + draw hands and maybe some combo draws.

by betting like 2/3 on flop and Turn i think your hand is under- repped. If villain is somewhat of a thinking player, i would say he puts you on more TPTK kindof hands, and is showing up with a J here alot. Not to mention it is a scarecard and is a decent place to bluff for someone quite TAGish liek him.

So while i think he may be ahead more than half the time, i still think a call is way the bst play here.

[YesMehFriend]

I call river and expect to see AJ/KJ maybe even QT/KQ more often than a fh.
Bet full pot on flop/turn.