<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<INSIDER PLAY>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Midseason · #1 10-09-2006, 10:31 PM

Marshall +5 SMU QB out
Army +5.5 or better Conn just had 5 players suspended

RUN FAST BOYS

brendanb438 · #2 10-09-2006, 10:43 PM

Thanks got Marshall on Pinny 5.5 Army is already at 4.5 there.

-Brendan

brendanb438 · #3 10-09-2006, 10:45 PM

Army +6 on WWTS still.

brendanb438 · #4 10-09-2006, 10:45 PM

Who are the 5 players suspended Midseason?

bigalt · #5 10-09-2006, 10:45 PM

and VIP too

Howling · #6 10-09-2006, 10:46 PM

Army +6 WSEX

Jibba · #7 10-09-2006, 10:56 PM

What the hell. Threw a few units on Army but took it easy on SMU. Isn't the QB being out already built into the line?

ML4L · #8 10-09-2006, 11:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Marshall +5 SMU QB out
Army +5.5 or better Conn just had 5 players suspended

RUN FAST BOYS

[/ QUOTE ]

Army +6 -101 on Cascade.

Not as much value with Marshall; QB is already built into the line to some extent if it opened -5.5...

ML4L

vilemerchant · #9 10-09-2006, 11:28 PM

Got it at +6. Would going for the middle against -4.5 be a good play?

playersare · #10 10-09-2006, 11:35 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Got it at +6. Would going for the middle against -4.5 be a good play?

[/ QUOTE ]
depends on how much juice you're paying on both sides, but it's usually not a gamble to pursue. in the NFL the 6 pushes about 4% of the time but the 5 only about 2%. figure these margins would be worth even less in NCAA.

the +6 -101 on cascade is scalpable with pin if you sell back up to -6 +105, so the middle may be slightly +EV with high variance. I don't see any other books with a useful price. it would NOT be profitable at +6 -110 and -4.5 -107 though.