Week 6 CFB Notions

[ML4L]

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I was seriously considering adding Wake Forest +17, and I will now with your pick.

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Not sure how an 18-17-1 record instills a sense of confidence, but good luck to us both... [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

Wake had a strong rushing defense last year and returned a ton of players on that side of the ball. I know that Wake is untested so far this year, but their rush D has held up very well against their poor competition so far, so I see no reason to think that their rush D is not as good as last year's. Clemson's recent performances are completely attributable to their ability to run the ball at will. Despite considerable talent at RB and O-line, I don't see them doing that against Wake, so I don't see how they will be able to put up a number that covers 17. FWIW, I like the under better than the Wake side.

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Sorry you're keeping Georgia. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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I might be too; I hate the QB issues and I hate the injury to a very good kicker. But, I've spent a decent amount of time re-reseaching the game, and I just can't bring myself to move off it. I am a sucker for a perceived edge in the ground game, and I think that it's there. UGA rush O > UT rush D and UGA rush D > UT rush O. Add in the fact that I generally feel good when I play a team that nobody else seems to want, but the line isn't moving... I mean, look at how well that worked out for me last week with Arizona St... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

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Do you like the under for Mizzou/Bufs? I think I do.

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Mizzou/Bufs was last weekend. This weekend, we have Mizzou/Texas Tech and Baylor/Colorado. I have a slight lean to the over on the first game and a slight lean to the under on the second game, but each of those leans is 100% attributable to my feelings on one team in the match-up; hence, I'll probably play the team totals rather than the game...

ML4L

[MyTurn2Raise]

yep...I'm loving the individual team totals on games, and I agree with both of those bets

people should really make an effort to watch Chase Daniel and Mizzou...it's one of the best schemes in college football.

[ML4L]

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2 units - Louisville/MTSU u55 -105

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BOBBY PETRINO CAN EAT [CENSORED]. TAKE A [CENSORED] KNEE LIKE EVERY OTHER COACH IN THE COUNTRY WITH 30 SECONDS LEFT. I AM SO SICK OF [CENSORED] LIKE THIS HAPPENING TO ME THIS SEASON.

[/rant]

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

ML4L

[Lori]

Despite your current record, you have won me over during the course of this season. I hope it turns around for you this afternoon (Well marches forward, not sure where turning around from 50% goes [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] )

Lori

[ML4L]

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OK, done a little more research and made a few more plays. I've also decided that I'm sticking with Air Force, UCONN, and UGA (although I am really worried about the loss of their kicker; good news for my under, though...).

New summary:

2 units - Texas -6 -105 vs Oklahoma (now -3.5; yuck)
2 units - Louisville/MTSU u55 -105 (now 52.5)
2 units - Georgia/Tennessee u38 -105
2 units - Temple +24.5 -112 vs Kent St.
2 units - W. Michigan -3 -105 at Ohio (now -4)
2 units - Fla. Int'l +3 -105 at N. Texas (FIU now -3.5)
2 units - Arkansas St. -5 -105 vs La. Monroe
2 units - Wake Forest +17 -114 vs Clemson
2 units - Wake Forest/Clemson u47 -102
2 units - Georgia +2.5 -105 vs Tennessee
2 units - UCONN +7 -105 at USF (now +6.5)
2 units - Air Force -3 -105 vs Navy (now -2.5)
1 unit - Boise St. -34.5 -115 vs La. Tech (Cascade) (now -35)

Adding:

2 units - LSU pk +111 at Florida (just beat the line move this morning; now +105 and dropping)
1 unit - Penn St. -2.5 -110 at Minnesota (Cascade; currently scalpable against Pinny)

I am also considering trying my hand at a couple of team totals.

Baylor u15.5 at Colorado
Mizzou o25.5 at Texas Tech

As always, thoughta are appreciated.

ML4L

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2 units - LSU/Florida u43 -107
1 unit - Mizzou o25.5 -108
1 unit - Baylor u15.5 -108

ML4L

[mmbt0ne]

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maybe, because I'll probably get a better line on Tennessee if he does play.

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That's interesting, because I am praying that Joey T doesn't play.

As I alluded in my reply to you about the game, against LSU/Florida, I'll take the less-talented, more experienced player. But, against the Tennessee defense, I'd honestly rather have the talent.

ML4L

[/ QUOTE ]

Bump! [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[ML4L]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, done a little more research and made a few more plays. I've also decided that I'm sticking with Air Force, UCONN, and UGA (although I am really worried about the loss of their kicker; good news for my under, though...).

New summary:

2 units - Texas -6 -105 vs Oklahoma (now -3.5; yuck)
2 units - Louisville/MTSU u55 -105 (now 52.5)
2 units - Georgia/Tennessee u38 -105
2 units - Temple +24.5 -112 vs Kent St.
2 units - W. Michigan -3 -105 at Ohio (now -4)
2 units - Fla. Int'l +3 -105 at N. Texas (FIU now -3.5)
2 units - Arkansas St. -5 -105 vs La. Monroe
2 units - Wake Forest +17 -114 vs Clemson
2 units - Wake Forest/Clemson u47 -102
2 units - Georgia +2.5 -105 vs Tennessee
2 units - UCONN +7 -105 at USF (now +6.5)
2 units - Air Force -3 -105 vs Navy (now -2.5)
1 unit - Boise St. -34.5 -115 vs La. Tech (Cascade) (now -35)

Adding:

2 units - LSU pk +111 at Florida (just beat the line move this morning; now +105 and dropping)
1 unit - Penn St. -2.5 -110 at Minnesota (Cascade; currently scalpable against Pinny)

I am also considering trying my hand at a couple of team totals.

Baylor u15.5 at Colorado
Mizzou o25.5 at Texas Tech

As always, thoughta are appreciated.

ML4L

[/ QUOTE ]

2 units - LSU/Florida u43 -107
1 unit - Mizzou o25.5 -108
1 unit - Baylor u15.5 -108

ML4L

[/ QUOTE ]

25-27-2 YTD, -9.34 units

I'm going to go jump off my [censored] balcony.

ML4L

[Thremp]

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2 units - Louisville/MTSU u55 -105

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BOBBY PETRINO CAN EAT [CENSORED]. TAKE A [CENSORED] KNEE LIKE EVERY OTHER COACH IN THE COUNTRY WITH 30 SECONDS LEFT. I AM SO SICK OF [CENSORED] LIKE THIS HAPPENING TO ME THIS SEASON.

[/rant]

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

ML4L

[/ QUOTE ]

I was so happy to get that TD [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Blame MTSU.

[Lori]

I have no idea how many collective points you were ahead of the field, but a lot of your plays turned into steam plays, almost none of your plays went the other way and you have some amazingawful finishes in games that you pick. I thought you were going to lose Wake Forest just for a moment too.

Lori

[JackOfSpeed]

what is a steam play?