NL100: Strange spot with AQs

[Albert Moulton]

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The turn isn't a great card but their line makes absolutely no sense. So should hero make a hero call?


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Min-raise/call preflop followed by big lead on a 2-flush board, then a push when another overcard comes is consistent with a big hand. By the turn, it is likely a low set, two pair, or a big combo draw that is trying to fold out big 1-pair hands like AA and AQ. Since I doubt villain would min-raise/call preflop with QQ-AA, I think by the turn he has hands like 55,66,56s,KQs,7d8d,JdTd,AdTd,AdKd,AdJd.

All of these are candidates for min-raise/call preflop, then bet flop/push turn. Some of the draw hands might be less likely if villains isn't aggro w/ draws OOP.

Board: Qd 5d 6c Ks
76.623% { 66-55, AdKd, AdJd, AdTd, KQs, JdTd, 8d7d, 65s }
23.377% { AhQh }

So, I think folding TPTK on the turn is good.