monster draw facing bet and raise

[Bump_Bailey]

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $82.85
UTG+1: $265.90
CO: $199
Button: $89.65
hero: $207.20
BB: $115

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $7</font>, UTG+1 calls, CO calls, Button calls, hero calls, BB folds.

Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($37, 5 players)
hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $37</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $148</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">hero???

UTG is nitty, MP is bad and loose but not super aggressive.
If the A was a diamond this a easy push, but my flush draw is not good here a lot.

[SteveL91]

Given that the nitty, short-stacked player raised PF and bet the A-high flop, I think your flush draw is good quite often for the side pot. I'd shove.

[chucky]

I still get it in here. If utg+1 has ace diamond flush draw he brobably doesnt thing utg has set of aces. In that scenario you have ten nut outs. If utg+1 is making this play with wrap you are dominating him.

[Bump_Bailey]

I pushed, utg had AAxx mp had NFD, which was about as bad as it could get and still had 30% equity.

[chucky]

I would like to reassess my previous post. I was right about your outs versus worst combo, it turns out you are getting 2.5 to 1 on the main pot which is break even. However you are a dog to nfd in side pot, some where in the neighborhood of 60/40. The side pot you are investing 120 to win 120 which means total ev is negative. If you can see UTG+1 pushing with hands other than nfd, then the allin is fine. If he only shoves nfd in this situation then you have a close fold.