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#1
10-03-2007, 09:44 PM
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AQ river decision
3 handed 500/1k
button folds. bb is genius28, a NL player. i raise AQ in the SB. genius calls in BB. flop A54 two diamonds. i bet, he raises, i choose to call. turn is a 4 of diamonds. i check, he bets, i call river is a 4 offsuit. i ? please give explanations 
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#2
10-03-2007, 09:53 PM
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Re: AQ river decision
Originally I thought it was an easy check, but I think you have to bet since you underepped your hand and he might pay off with a flush. Problem is that he can only beat air or a busted gutshot but he should look you up to see what you played so weird.
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#3
10-03-2007, 10:03 PM
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Re: AQ river decision
That's a tough one. Id say Check-Call. Id put the guy on a big hand... A NL player or not, he raised with 4 to the flush? No..
MitchL has it backwords. All you can beat is a bluff or a flush, which he probally doesnt have enless he flopped an Aces with Ace high flush draw, in which case, you Tie at best. Id say a Set of 5's on the flop. Only hand he can legitimately raise with that beat's you. That or Ace's as well, which is a chop. There's alot of risk for almost certainly no reward.
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#7
10-03-2007, 10:51 PM
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Re: AQ river decision
[ QUOTE ]
That's a tough one. Id say Check-Call. Id put the guy on a big hand... A NL player or not, he raised with 4 to the flush? No.. MitchL has it backwords. All you can beat is a bluff or a flush, which he probally doesnt have enless he flopped an Aces with Ace high flush draw, in which case, you Tie at best. Id say a Set of 5's on the flop. Only hand he can legitimately raise with that beat's you. That or Ace's as well, which is a chop. There's alot of risk for almost certainly no reward. [/ QUOTE ] Pretty sure his range his weighted more heavily towards flush draws and aces than a set of 5s. Why wouldnt he raise a flush draw here? His equity is good and he should fold out K high type hands enough of the time. Im sure we are chopping alot, but the way we played the flop and turn I am betting that river and getting looked up by a flush and raised by an ace.
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#8
10-03-2007, 10:58 PM
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Re: AQ river decision
I bet/call.
Our hand looks too drawy and is underrepresented, so he can pay off with any flush, and who knows, maybe K-hi. And since our hand can be a busted draw he can try to bluff us off a better draw.
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#9
10-03-2007, 11:17 PM
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Re: AQ river decision
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] That's a tough one. Id say Check-Call. Id put the guy on a big hand... A NL player or not, he raised with 4 to the flush? No.. MitchL has it backwords. All you can beat is a bluff or a flush, which he probally doesnt have enless he flopped an Aces with Ace high flush draw, in which case, you Tie at best. Id say a Set of 5's on the flop. Only hand he can legitimately raise with that beat's you. That or Ace's as well, which is a chop. There's alot of risk for almost certainly no reward. [/ QUOTE ] Pretty sure his range his weighted more heavily towards flush draws and aces than a set of 5s. Why wouldnt he raise a flush draw here? His equity is good and he should fold out K high type hands enough of the time. Im sure we are chopping alot, but the way we played the flop and turn I am betting that river and getting looked up by a flush and raised by an ace. [/ QUOTE ] Ive played with Genius28 some. Your either chopping or losing atleast 70% of the time. Im not saying fold, but whats the extra 500$ gonna do?
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