CRAI on river with trips top kicker

[waldo027]

Villian is 32/15/2.14 after 420 hands. A little loose, somewhat passive. Haven't seen any anything strange from him yet.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $38.15
Hero (BB): $36.45
UTG: $45.60
MP: $25.05
CO: $10.40
BTN: $7.30

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN folds, SB calls $0.15, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, CO folds, SB calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $1.25</font>, Hero calls $1.25

Turn: ($4.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4</font>, SB calls $4

River: ($12.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $10</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $30.20</font>

Is the river CRAI ever a bluff at these stakes? I expect either 66 or 77 most of the time, maybe JJ or AJ, and rarely to see a worse A.

[Malifous]

Raise more preflop, i make it 1.25-1.5. Reraise flop. Turn is nice. Your getting very nice odds at river and your beating many hands still so i call.

[bsball8806]

for better than 2:1, I'll call this. The small chance he does this with like AQ or A10 makes it worth it.

[orlov]

[ QUOTE ]
Raise more preflop, i make it 1.25-1.5. Reraise flop. Turn is nice. Your getting very nice odds at river and your beating many hands still so i call.

[/ QUOTE ]
I dont think theres many hands he is beating. I dont think villain will ever have a worse hand that A9 here. Thats exactly 3hands we beat.

Its still a call, against a range of AT+, 66,77,JJ you still have enough equity to make this atleast breakeven since you are getting good odds.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.304% 34.78% 06.52% 8 1.50 { AsKc }
Hand 1: 58.696% 52.17% 06.52% 12 1.50 { JJ, 77-66, ATs+, ATo+ }

[waldo027]

I don't think there's many hands I'm beating either. I don't see a reasonable player CR-ing AI on the river with just an ace here. It's most likely that he donked into me on the flop with a set, though normally I would raise the flop but in this hand I was going to raise the turn if he bet again. After letting the time bank run out, I folded, I told him "nice bet" and he said "nice fold" if that means anything.