100NL I has a draw

[sebbb]

Villain is unknown.

Comments?

24.5 left if I call the turn.


Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $225.20
UTG+1: $14.20
CO: $79.55
hero: $100
SB: $201.45
BB: $143.35

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">hero raises to $4.5</font>, SB calls, BB calls, CO calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($18, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">hero bets $14</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $28</font>, 2 folds, hero calls.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($74, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $43</font>, hero ???

[Bill Smith]

You might as well push - you're behind 98% of the time but you're going to draw out almost 1 in 3 and if the guy is looney this could be KcJc or J9.

Anyone think betting the flop is a mistake? Having bet, should he have 3-bet AI?

[Doug Funnie II]

You're 25% to win against a range of TT,88,33,T9,T8 and you're getting 27% from the pot so fold isn't an option when you consider whatever goes in on river and the chance that he has a lower flush draw. I don't like shove either because clearly he's not folding so he needs to be holding a smaller flush draw a lot to make shoving +ev. It may seem weird, but I'd probably call here and call allin if you improve to 2pr or better.

[eigenvalue]

I don't bet draws into 3 players, even if 2 of them have checked. Your FE is very low in these spots and that's what you need to make betting a draw a winning play.

[sebbb]

not betting draws into 3 players: good idea

I think calling the turn is better than pushing because we have no FE, and it gives us the opportunity to decide what we want to do with the remaining $24.5

So, no one folds the turn? Anyone 3bet the flop?