#21
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Re: 25nl AA on a monotone flop; how is my line?
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[ QUOTE ] Bet flop, bet turn and charge for draws. Villain is going to call with so many worse hands. [/ QUOTE ] Please list these "worse hands" that a 16 VPIP player calls down with on this board. [/ QUOTE ] AKo with a club, which is about 0.5% of hands. Given that villain is smooth-calling a raise, we can assume he's doing that with "22-TT, AKo" or so, making this about 10% of his range. But the worse hands that he calls are only half the story, here; let me list the worse hands that we WANT to fold and that WILL fold to a bet: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]5 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]7 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8 T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]T If villain is set-mining, he's giving up on this flop. Your bet tells him that you've got QQ-AA with the club (he's looking for monsters under the bed, after all) and he "knows" that he's beaten and that he's got the worst draw, too. Why give villain a free shot at drawing out on hitting one of his 11 outs when you can get him to fold and give you the pot? After all, if he's got 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2 he's got about 40% pot equity right now, and if you fold him out on the flop you basically steal that extra $1. It's worth the bet. |
#22
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Re: 25nl AA on a monotone flop; how is my line?
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Bet flop. Bet turn. Call river, [/ QUOTE ] i dont know what you are scared of here. bet if raised then a fold could be in order |
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