Taking a Shot, How would you do it?

[ssdex]

This is a strange spot, since I am an ubernit when it comes to bankroll management. Many of you may know my story, many of you may not. Anyways--- I am a 50nl player that has been grinding out the 50nl game since really October of last year. After neteller gave me my $ back my poker BR kind of got way too big for me not to consider taking a "shot".

Any given month--- playing 20 hours a week I would say my expected earning lie between 2-4k depending on how I run.

However, My bankroll is super bloated now, and I have beat much bigger games in the past, but am not as risk tolerant as I used to be.

I have decided to take a 5K shot--- Meaning a 5k stoploss on moving up--- I'm obviously skipping 100nl. So if you had 5k, how would you move up--- would you just jump to 200nl and grind it out there--- or since I am taking a shot, would you say put 5 bi in 400nl and see how it goes and then that way if I lose that I still have 10 bi left behind to try 200nl. Im confident these games are much tougher then when I beat them, but im also pretty confident I can still beat them.

Note: remember this is a "shot"--- 5k is ~20% of my current Bankroll.

Any thoughts/ advice are appreciated and welcome.

[stickdude]

If you've beaten bigger games in the past, then I'd probably start at 200NL until you get a feel for how much the games have changed since you last played them.

I'd rather start at 200NL and move up once you've established that you still have an edge on the players than the other way around.

[Gelford]

Since I have a vague memory of you tilting easily, I wonder if you can keep your cool playing 400, hitting a bad streak and then have to play 200NL slightly 'underrolled' ?

If you can, by all means hit it ... else I'd say just play 200NL for a week or so before you push the envelope further.


That being said, it's about time [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]


GL dex !

[traz]

if you're confident you can play at 200, hop to it

[ssdex]

[ QUOTE ]
if you're confident you can play at 200, hop to it

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I think my base level of understanding and thought processes are much too complicated for 50nl and maybe even 100nl---- when I started playing cash 4 years ago 200nl was the lowest I ever played until the crash and rebuilding of my poker career---- but the games back then were softer at 200nl then they are at 50nl now---- so I'm not sure what to expect in the shark infested waters of 200nl and above, but I think i'm ready and I think its been time for a long time.

[ssdex]

also, let it be noted, I won't take this shot until say, mid september--- mostly b/c I am going to California on vacation with my g/f and I just bought a new plasma, so I want to enjoy it---- Im gonna polish up at 50nl and 100nl the next two weeks and then Ill update you all on my shot, what I decided to do, and how its going--- if nothing else I think the move up will help improve my poker game further

[traz]

[ QUOTE ]
also, let it be noted, I won't take this shot until say, mid september--- mostly b/c I am going to California on vacation with my g/f and I just bought a new plasma, so I want to enjoy it---- Im gonna polish up at 50nl and 100nl the next two weeks and then Ill update you all on my shot, what I decided to do, and how its going--- if nothing else I think the move up will help improve my poker game further

[/ QUOTE ]

It's funny, after moving up, the previous levels seem alot easier usually. Moving up does wonders for your game

[stickdude]

[ QUOTE ]
I think my base level of understanding and thought processes are much too complicated for 50nl and maybe even 100nl

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So you're too good for us microdonk peons, eh? Is that what you're trying to say?? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]


(j/k - although that does explain a couple of your posts - specifically the JJ on Q-hi board one)

[ssdex]

my roll is 25k---- was 30k but i just withdrew 5 for a new plasma tv and to help pay for a vacation to san diego---

I have a really good job and I play poker for supplemental income.

The last 3 months I have been making $50+ an hour 6 tabling nl50

the reason I don't play 100nl is b/c my winrate is not anywhere near half my winrate at 50nl--- its not that I can't beat 100nl, just not for as much, so why play harder games with more variance for less then what i'm already making

the reason i'm going to try and take a shot at 200nl or 400nl is I think at these limits I can have a better hourly rate then the one I currently have--- maybe as much as double

3 years ago when I wasn't very good, after my first big downswing at 1000nl and 600nl I cashed out 30k to buy a car and then with the remaining $ tried grinding out 400nl---- I had a 12k downswing ( 30 buy-ins) and i've probably logged less then 15k hands at 400nl since. during college I really didn't care about $ and risks as much--- now that I work hard for my $ I would never play a level I couldn't beat just to gamble it up.

I just think I owe it to myself to see if I can beat 200nl and 400nl for a month or so--- just b/c I think i have the opportunity to make a lot more $ there, although I would never expect my winrates to be the same as nl50.

[ryang]

[ QUOTE ]
if you're confident you can play at 200, hop to it

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