Is this a donkey play Wed 320 on PS

[JammyDodga]

But with ace of spades there aren't that many draws are there that worry him.

The worst possible draw he could be up againt is Q10, and that only has 8 outs, (3 8s, 3 Ks, 2 Qs) and they'd still miss a spade on the other card even if they did hit.

He dominates a lot of the draws, like the K of spades.

Gut shut + over like hero's hand only has 6 clean outs and still needs to dodge a spade.

All I'm trying to say is that I doubt hero has to worry about the Ace of spades and can count the spades as his outs.

[JLiQ]

[censored] how you got there, but don't fault your play on the flop too much

[aaaaaaaa]

i dont see any bad result u can have with a weak lead/shove here i like a weak lead/shove better because crai if he bets a normal amount like 40k or 50k is a lil bit of an overshove if u bet 20k~ if he raises to 80k or 90k u can shove ur 300k in there ur shove looks pretty strong to a lot of players and it might get him to fold more hands than a crai or he can flat call and u got good odds with ur draw or he can fold which is great too.

[getballed]

Based on your image of btn I would easily let this go PF. As played, C/f the fold. You and the 2nd villain have almost the same amount of chips, I would pick a better spot to get it in.

[Soulman]

[ QUOTE ]
But with ace of spades there aren't that many draws are there that worry him.

[/ QUOTE ]
I was trying to say villain might think this, since he's very tight and 'doesn't want to get drawn out', which is a pretty common rationale for bad villains to overbet unnecessarily. I don't care too much what he *should* be thinking [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Yoshi63]

I ran your hand in stove against villain's range assuming he has AT LEAST a J here, and even including hands like AsJx or AsAx (though they didn't affect your equity much since they're so unlikely), you were still 45%.

I guess if you KNOW he's never bet/folding for 70k here, and ALWAYS has at least a jack, then you should fold. But I don't fault you for thinking you had at least a little fold equity to make the shove.