Common situation w/ midpair and an 18bb stack

[swede554]

From Stars $55 25k grnt. No read on MP2. What's the play here? How about if I have 44? 99?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP1 (t15914)
MP2 (t10405)
Hero (t5336)
CO (t18478)
Button (t8513)
SB (t5650)
BB (t5285)
UTG (t9413)
UTG+1 (t7320)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t900</font>, Hero?

[kurtkatt]

i probably push/fold 50/50. 44 i push less, 99 i always push.

[J.A.K.]

I would push here.

[jrock901]

Wold this be one of those all in or fold situations? Calling is not an option here right?

[themobfather]

im like 60/40 shove/fold. i fold 44 a lot more and shove 99 like 95%.

[sledghammer]

Push 100% with no read. What's with all these posts without reads? Doesn't anyone use pokertracker anymore?

[Larude]

I would raise to 2,500; pushing with so many BB left is almost telling the guy you have a midpair or AK,AQ.

[jrock901]

But then you'd be giving him a good price to call. What happens then if he calls and then basically puts you in on the flop?

[kimos123]

i would fold, you have a mid pair and 18bb left your still not in desparation mode

[cheburashka]

Villain has an M of 20, so unless there's a read that he's a maniac, I would put him on a normal raising range for MP2, maybe something like 99+,A8s+,KJs+,ATo+,KQo. Stoving it against your three pairs yields:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.982% 43.78% 00.20% 575750928 2629770.00 { 77 }
Hand 1: 56.018% 55.82% 00.20% 734039004 2629770.00 { 99+, A8s+, KJs+, ATo+, KQo }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.010% 42.75% 00.26% 562170048 3437346.00 { 44 }
Hand 1: 56.990% 56.73% 00.26% 746004732 3437346.00 { 99+, A8s+, KJs+, ATo+, KQo }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.292% 45.69% 00.61% 567935820 7538154.00 { 99 }
Hand 1: 53.708% 53.10% 00.61% 660120576 7538154.00 { 99+, A8s+, KJs+, ATo+, KQo }