Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy

[raze]

[ QUOTE ]
Yes:

(4) With stronger made hands (trips, 2pair, low flush), she would have raised the flop or turn to protect her hand

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds good in theory, but her aggression is 0.6 (lol). I didn't mention she played her KK hand completely passive as an overpair as well. She could have any Ace all the way down IMO.

I think the only part of her range that would pay off a value bet most of the time is A2 and A8+. I think she could have any number of made hands from trash 2-pair all the way to a flopped flush.

On the other hand, my guts say value shove.

[SEABEAST]

yeah i dont shove here, i bet like half pot max

[stackingboxes]

I hate hand reading donks. Cause you can be so off.

but this is what I noticed.

her pfr is 6%, this leads me to believe that when she raised and called a reraise, her A kicker would be pretty large, hence unlikely for a 2 pair. Hennnnce, u'r hand is prob good given it is the nut one pair hand. so Vbet for sure, I would bet as large as u think she's gonna call.

basically my post is to alliviate u'r fears of being beat, and value towning u'r self.

[spexel]

i bet like half pot and hope villain call W QxQs

[ogdundar]

def valuebetting, but not a shove. 2/3 pot or so is good.