Rivered Flush vs Bluff or Nuts or Top Pair or I Don't Know

toss · #1 07-28-2007, 10:58 PM

Villain is a 4-tabler running at 26.7/21.7/6 over 60 hands. Normal game so far.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($41.10)
UTG ($74.15)
MP ($106.85)
Hero ($102.05)
SB ($43.15)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP raises to $3.5, Hero raises to $12, 2 folds, MP calls $8.50.

Flop: ($25.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP bets $13, Hero calls $13.

Turn: ($51.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks.

River: ($51.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP bets $21...

What do I do?

tufat23 · #2 07-28-2007, 10:59 PM

shove, ldo

Nielsio · #3 07-28-2007, 11:01 PM

GO ALL INNNNN

toss · #4 07-28-2007, 11:01 PM

What he call with

Nielsio · #5 07-28-2007, 11:02 PM

Any ace

Dude, you have the nuts

tufat23 · #6 07-28-2007, 11:10 PM

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What he call with

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r u srious

pariah8 · #7 07-28-2007, 11:12 PM

Your hand is the nuts what'd he call with preflop A4? Shove (with a fist pump) it's the only bet that doesn't seem that suspcious.

toss · #8 07-28-2007, 11:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What he call with

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r u srious

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I minraised him and he folded. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

LuckySal · #9 07-28-2007, 11:13 PM

realistically only AA,66,33 have u beat

villain seems pretty solid so i don't think he has A4,(especially when u holding an ace too)

And i don't know villain but i think we can exclude 43 & 46

So the question is is villain trappy enough to hold AA,33,66

If no, than a raise will get value out of big pocketpairs, smaller flushes, AK/AQ
I dont know if u would call a push though

toss · #10 07-28-2007, 11:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
realistically only AA,66,33 have u beat

villain seems pretty solid so i don't think he has A4,(especially when u holding an ace too)

And i don't know villain but i think we can exclude 43 & 46

So the question is is villain trappy enough to hold AA,33,66

If no, than a raise will get value out of big pocketpairs, smaller flushes, AK/AQ
I dont know if u would call a push though

[/ QUOTE ]

Good analysis. River should be an easy shove.