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  #1  
Old 03-09-2007, 11:33 AM
dengar dengar is offline
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Posts: 467
Default WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

MELINDA DOOLITTLE -200
LAKISHA JONES +150


CHRIS SLIGH -115
CHRIS RICHARDSON -115

BLAKE LEWIS -130
JORDIN SPARKS EVEN

STEPHANIE EDWARDS -150
GINA GLOCKSEN +115

BRANDON ROGERS -130
HALEY SCARNATO EVEN

PHIL STACEY -110
SANJAYA MALAKAR -120


Does anyone see any overwhelming value in any of these? I haven't really analyized them yet, but i figured it could start a good discussion.
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  #2  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:03 PM
curtains curtains is offline
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Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 13,960
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

I don't see any giant value. If I had to pick sides:

I'd bet on:

1. Sligh
2. Lewis
3. Glockson
4. Rogers
5. Sanjaya

But I don't see anything totally out of whack. Brandon is probably the best bet, Haley is a sitting duck.
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  #3  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:19 PM
disjunction disjunction is offline
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Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

I won't put my money where my mouth is, but I like the Sligh prop because of his background and the chance that this becomes political, like I said in the other thread.
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  #4  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:26 PM
Brocktoon Brocktoon is offline
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Location: NYC
Posts: 3,187
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

My picks:

DOOLITTLE

SLIGH

BLAKE

STEPHANIE

BRANDON

STACY

BOOK IT!
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  #5  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:39 PM
soflat soflat is offline
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Posts: 429
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

Gina looks like the best value in that list of props.
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  #6  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:43 PM
thing85 thing85 is offline
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Location: 100NL but I like uNL too much to leave
Posts: 3,672
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

Doolittle is no good at -200. I think the fair odds are probably -160ish. I'd rather take her to win at +138 (which is also a bad bet).

Here are my plays:

Brandon - 1.3u to win 1u
Phil - 1.1u to win 1u

I like Sligh and Glocksen, but I'm holding off on those for now.
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  #7  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:54 PM
pokerplayer28 pokerplayer28 is offline
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Posts: 294
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

[ QUOTE ]
Gina looks like the best value in that list of props.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gina was the 3rd highest vote getter overall this week so there is a little value there and I like sligh over richardson
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  #8  
Old 03-09-2007, 02:55 PM
thing85 thing85 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: 100NL but I like uNL too much to leave
Posts: 3,672
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Gina looks like the best value in that list of props.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gina was the 3rd highest vote getter overall this week so there is a little value there and I like sligh over richardson

[/ QUOTE ]

Did they say this last night, or are you just assuming DI was THAT accurate?
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  #9  
Old 03-09-2007, 03:04 PM
soflat soflat is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
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Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Gina looks like the best value in that list of props.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gina was the 3rd highest vote getter overall this week so there is a little value there and I like sligh over richardson

[/ QUOTE ]

Did they say this last night, or are you just assuming DI was THAT accurate?

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think they said that, but Gina was a <u>solid</u> 3rd on DI most of the night. She is also alone in her field. Stephanie will probably be eaten alive by Lakisha and Melissa. I don't see how Stephanie could possibly do better than she already has (she has done really really well singing but hasn't gotten out of the big girls' shadow).
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  #10  
Old 03-09-2007, 03:17 PM
pokerplayer28 pokerplayer28 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 294
Default Re: WSEX Last Longer Lines are Up!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Gina looks like the best value in that list of props.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gina was the 3rd highest vote getter overall this week so there is a little value there and I like sligh over richardson

[/ QUOTE ]

Did they say this last night, or are you just assuming DI was THAT accurate?

[/ QUOTE ]

Ive found 2 places where "official" results are posted they differ slightly every week so I dont know if either can be trusted but they both had melinda lakisha gina.
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