Sunday Million Hand

[fppME]

Villain just moved to table 4 hands ago or so. Previous to this he had raised the last 2 pots in a row to the same amount and taken it down uncontested. No other reads on him.

At this point there are about 21 people left in the tournament. Comments on preflop welcome too - the PF raise amount leaves me with a little more than a pot size bet left.

Poker Stars, $500 + $30 NL Hold'em Tournament, 25,000/50,000 Blinds, 7 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): 1,293,123
UTG: 577,762
UTG+1: 561,168
MP: 1,491,385
CO: 429,634
BTN: 814,355
SB: 804,360

Pre-Flop: (110,000) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, <font color="red">MP raises to 150,000</font>, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to 355,757</font>, MP calls 205,757

Flop: (771,514) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ?

[betgo]

Why the minireraise prelop? If you raise more, it is easier to push any flop. Also, the smaller reraise is better if you intend to fold to a 4-bet or have a big pair.

If villain has a top 20% hand, but not JJ+,AK, then you are 49% on this flop. Versus a top 15% hand minus AK, JJ+, you are 43%.

This is not a good flop for AQ with deep money, but with this much in, I think you have to go with ace high and a gutshot. So I would push or bet most of my stack.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,820,610 games 0.015 secs 121,374,000 games/sec

Board: Ks Jh 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.585% 44.84% 03.74% 816381 68164.50 { AQo }
Hand 1: 51.415% 47.67% 03.74% 867900 68164.50 { TT-66, AQs-A4s, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-A9o, KTo+, QTo+ }


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Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,354,320 games 0.011 secs 123,120,000 games/sec

Board: Ks Jh 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.258% 38.66% 04.60% 523620 62235.00 { AQo }
Hand 1: 56.742% 52.15% 04.60% 706230 62235.00 { TT-77, AQs-A7s, K9s+, Q9s+, JTs, AQo-ATo, KTo+, QJo }