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  #1  
Old 11-06-2007, 05:29 PM
plzbenice plzbenice is offline
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Default Samplesize for Omaha?

how many hands do you need to play in omaha to get a good idea of your winrate?
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  #2  
Old 11-06-2007, 05:45 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

Probably 20K hands to get the same kind of idea you'd get from 10K hands in Hold'em. PLO's pretty volatile.
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  #3  
Old 11-06-2007, 05:47 PM
cmyr cmyr is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

it's sort of irrelevant because by the time you've played that many hands the nature of the games you're playing in will have changed.

to put in english, I have over half a million hands in various databases but would be very hard pressed to tell you what my expected winrate would be in any game I sit in, except to say that it would be a positive number more often then not.
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  #4  
Old 11-06-2007, 05:49 PM
jbird jbird is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

i played 65k hands or so before I went through a 20BI downswing.
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  #5  
Old 11-06-2007, 06:57 PM
pete fabrizio pete fabrizio is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

[ QUOTE ]
how many hands do you need to play in omaha to get a good idea of your winrate?

[/ QUOTE ]

after 100k hands your observed winrate may be off by as much as 4bb/100 from variance alone, and your game and game conditions may have changed, making it even less reliable. you may be able to use something like pokerEV to cut down on the uncertainty a little, but regardless you're going to have to estimate.
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  #6  
Old 11-06-2007, 07:24 PM
wazz wazz is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

[ QUOTE ]
after 100k hands your observed winrate may be off by as much as 4bb/100 from variance alone, and your game and game conditions may have changed, making it even less reliable. you may be able to use something like pokerEV to cut down on the uncertainty a little, but regardless you're going to have to estimate.

[/ QUOTE ]

quoted for curry lover
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  #7  
Old 11-06-2007, 07:28 PM
TimberBee TimberBee is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
how many hands do you need to play in omaha to get a good idea of your winrate?

[/ QUOTE ]

after 100k hands your observed winrate may be off by as much as 4bb/100 from variance alone, and your game and game conditions may have changed, making it even less reliable. you may be able to use something like pokerEV to cut down on the uncertainty a little, but regardless you're going to have to estimate.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow, R U 4 sriuz? 4BB/100 difference seems A LOT after 100k hands.
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  #8  
Old 11-06-2007, 07:37 PM
4CardGrind 4CardGrind is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

Yeah actually.. after my first 100k hands this year I was 7.5ptbb/100 i have 215k hands in now and I about 3 ptbb/100... sooo in actuality after 100k hands my winrate was off by 9 bb/100... sick sick game.
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  #9  
Old 11-06-2007, 07:58 PM
bogey1 bogey1 is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah actually.. after my first 100k hands this year I was 7.5ptbb/100 i have 215k hands in now and I about 3 ptbb/100... sooo in actuality after 100k hands my winrate was off by 9 bb/100... sick sick game.

[/ QUOTE ]

Damn, one of the reasons I was interested in PLO was it was supposedly lower variance than limit holdem.

What are the lower variance forms of poker? And no, please don't tell me to search. A search here on "low variance poker" or some such is what led me to PLO in the first place.

My stomach would gladly take lower overall bb/100 for lower variance...
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  #10  
Old 11-06-2007, 08:02 PM
chucky chucky is offline
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Default Re: Samplesize for Omaha?

Try split pot poker games to lower variance.
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