NL 50 AK villian shoves turn

[xeanatic]

No reads on villian just sat down at the table.
I am almost sure I am beat here, how can I play this any different and do I have to call a push here because of the odds?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $26.60
Hero (BB): $50.00
UTG: $66.35
MP: $29.00
CO: $49.65
BTN: $26.20

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.50</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, CO calls $3.00

Flop: ($9.25) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, CO calls $7.00

Turn: ($23.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, <font color="red">CO raises all-in to $38.15</font> Hero ?

Pot Size: $79.40

[yapee]

Well at first the girl in me thought fold, but then I did some stoving:

Board: 3h Th Ad Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.492% 30.15% 10.34% 398 136.50 { AhKd }
Hand 1: 59.508% 49.17% 10.34% 649 136.50 { AA, JJ-TT, AJs+, KQs, AJo+ }

Notice, that I am excluding the KK and QQ hands, so it's a pretty tight range. Even crossing out some of the AQ combos doesn't make you worse than 2-1, so call.

[Ikaika]

Wow thats way closer than I thought it would be.

[scallop]

Mental stove results. I cannot believe those.

[xeanatic]

This is what I got stoving..

Board: 3h Th Ad Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.027% 23.05% 05.98% 578 150.00 { AhKd }
Hand 1: 70.973% 64.99% 05.98% 1630 150.00 { AA, JJ-TT, 33, ATs+, KQs, JTs, ATo+, KQo, JTo }

[Dumle]

[ QUOTE ]
This is what I got stoving..

Board: 3h Th Ad Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.027% 23.05% 05.98% 578 150.00 { AhKd }
Hand 1: 70.973% 64.99% 05.98% 1630 150.00 { AA, JJ-TT, 33, ATs+, KQs, JTs, ATo+, KQo, JTo }

[/ QUOTE ]

These are probably closer to the truth, but its still a call. Although a close one.

Dumle

[yapee]

Yeah, discrediting the other 2p combos and 33 was overkill. I am still wondering though. Most our value comes from AQ, which is drawing dead against us (or just to the flush). But we'd have to rule out all AQo to tilt this to a fold. And we can't do that, can we?

[scallop]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, discrediting the other 2p combos and 33 was overkill. I am still wondering though. Most our value comes from AQ, which is drawing dead against us (or just to the flush). But we'd have to rule out all AQo to tilt this to a fold. And we can't do that, can we?

[/ QUOTE ]


AQ can make broadway.

[bob_sacamano]

I'm calling here... what was your next move?

[xeanatic]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm calling here... what was your next move?

[/ QUOTE ]

I called couldn't do any more moves because he was all in