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#12
07-13-2007, 09:59 AM
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Re: 5/10 NL @ The Wynn, Deep
[ QUOTE ]
what do you put villain on besides possibly case 88? [/ QUOTE ] On the flop, I really thought he had a flush draw when he called. Since I'm repping a good K or AA, I figured he'd get a c/r in there if he had 88 (highly unlikely since i have one of them). I thought there was a slight possibility of a worse K that I could fold out on the turn so that's why I bet. His c/r is really weird though. He will never have KK here and I doubt that he's c/ring AK or similar hands for value on the turn. I don't expect a total float here, but is this a weirdly played flush draw enough to make this call profitable? It seems like it might be. 
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#13
07-13-2007, 01:13 PM
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Re: 5/10 NL @ The Wynn, Deep
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] what do you put villain on besides possibly case 88? [/ QUOTE ] On the flop, I really thought he had a flush draw when he called. Since I'm repping a good K or AA, I figured he'd get a c/r in there if he had 88 (highly unlikely since i have one of them). I thought there was a slight possibility of a worse K that I could fold out on the turn so that's why I bet. His c/r is really weird though. He will never have KK here and I doubt that he's c/ring AK or similar hands for value on the turn. I don't expect a total float here, but is this a weirdly played flush draw enough to make this call profitable? It seems like it might be. [/ QUOTE ] No "capable" villain is ever check-raising turn with a weak K he's going to get pushed off of here, so that's seriously not even a significant part of his range, unless he simply decided to turn it into a bluff. Also, I hate your turn bet, it's really weak - you're betting one-third pot on the turn on a very draw-heavy board, so yeah he could've sensed you are splashing around and decided to make a move, but a fold is still best since he'll have a huge hand here usually, and could even be bluffing with a better hand, but either way you already messed this up so fold and wait for a better spot now. I would've checked the turn since you do have some show-down value and can even improve. Kirk
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#15
07-13-2007, 02:33 PM
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Re: 5/10 NL @ The Wynn, Deep
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what do you put villain on besides possibly case 88? [/ QUOTE ] Dunno. But I find that when live players spring to life like this and put in a large raise they usually have got what they're representing, no matter how weird their line is. Live guys loooooooove to trap. Villain is "capable and tricky", so maybe this applies less to him, but I really don't think this decision is close.
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#18
07-17-2007, 05:09 PM
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Re: 5/10 NL @ The Wynn, Deep
[ QUOTE ]
results? [/ QUOTE ]
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