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  #1  
Old 11-19-2007, 01:57 AM
DMoogle DMoogle is offline
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Default AA on board with three 8s

Villain is Box of Legos, pretty much a straightforward nit, 20%/7%/2.7 Fold to CBet:68% Call CBet:26% Raise CBet:7%, Fold to steal in BB: 87%. Am I a nit too for thinking I should simply call here instead of push? IMO his line represents huge strength.


Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $1,442
Hero (BTN): $1,000
SB: $960
BB: $1,942.25
UTG: $1,501

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $35</font>, SB folds, BB calls $25

Flop: ($75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $55</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $120</font>, Hero calls $65

Turn: ($315) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] [ 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $100</font>, Hero calls $100

River: ($515) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [ 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $400</font>, Hero...
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  #2  
Old 11-19-2007, 02:04 AM
mythrilfox mythrilfox is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

push push push
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  #3  
Old 11-19-2007, 02:22 AM
iwantbooze iwantbooze is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

There's not many times he has an 8 with those stats in the BB.

Get it all in.
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  #4  
Old 11-19-2007, 02:24 AM
Praetor Praetor is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

he has like JJ or something, shove
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  #5  
Old 11-19-2007, 02:24 AM
WelshChip WelshChip is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

he cant have 88

prob has like a slowplayed KK or something as it isn't likely he continues like this with 44.

with a fold bb of 87 or so he doesnt really have 8-x in his range and with such a small flop raise% i think 99 is almost impossible too.
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  #6  
Old 11-19-2007, 02:38 AM
annex21 annex21 is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

it just looks so much like a poorly played overpair. He was scared u had an 8 on the turn when u called his c/r so he bet 1/3 pot as a blocking bet then when the third 8 hit river he decided his overpair was good and made a normal bet. If he had an 8 or 99, why wouldnt he make a normal bet on the turn? He has to assume when u call his c/r that you either have an 8 yourself or an overpair... so PUSH.
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  #7  
Old 11-19-2007, 03:06 AM
J.A.K. J.A.K. is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

brokage on this flop....and it ain't wrong
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  #8  
Old 11-19-2007, 03:09 AM
terp terp is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

nice trap, now shove
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  #9  
Old 11-19-2007, 03:19 AM
DMoogle DMoogle is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

OK, that's what I thought. Results in white below:

<font color="white"> I timed down a bit and went all-in. He called with KK. For some reason at the time (i.e. during the hand) I really thought that he had a huuuuge hand, and thought he was too straightforward to not re-raise AA/KK/QQ pre-flop. But after the hand I thought that it's such an easy shove... because 8x really isn't in his range, and if nothing else he's going to have JJ and TT more than 99.

The reason I posted this was to make sure my after-hand thinking was not results-oriented.</font>
Thanks for the responses.
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  #10  
Old 11-19-2007, 03:25 AM
yoshi86 yoshi86 is offline
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Default Re: AA on board with three 8s

never fold this. even if he shows you an 8.
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