Daliman's Wong Teasers, Season Deux; Week 3

[Daliman]

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Said it last week, say it again. "Amazing man, keep the streak going!" ty.

Btw, which books are you using for teasers? Seems like the books I use are overjuicing.

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As said before, I got my own guy on the side. Apparently the market for teasers is now at the point now where -110 on a 2 teamer is still a deal. -120 seems to be steadily be becoming the norm.

+180 for 3 teamers still seems pretty common though, and is effectively just as good (and at times, better) as +100 2 teamers, but with more variance.

[NajdorfDefense]

plenty of +100 sites still available.

[Thremp]

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plenty of +100 sites still available.

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Like... uh... 2 and limits are thin and lines are shaded?

[Limpfold]

From the early looks there seem to be plenty of possible games to Wong coming weekend..Now would anyone have educated guesses where the lines will end up? [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

[worm33]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Said it last week, say it again. "Amazing man, keep the streak going!" ty.

Btw, which books are you using for teasers? Seems like the books I use are overjuicing.

[/ QUOTE ]

As said before, I got my own guy on the side. Apparently the market for teasers is now at the point now where -110 on a 2 teamer is still a deal. -120 seems to be steadily be becoming the norm.

+180 for 3 teamers still seems pretty common though, and is effectively just as good (and at times, better) as +100 2 teamers, but with more variance.

[/ QUOTE ]


How big of an advantage is it if you do a 2 team 6 pointer with 2 teams that are +3 -125 and the book gives it to you for -110? Basicly I am asking if the giants +9 and Falcons +9 is a profitable 2 teamer at -110? The pinnacle lines on these games are +2.5 +101 on the Falcons and +2.5 +100 on the Giants. So kind of crossing the 3 kind of not.

[TomCowley]

It's worth playing. You're laying -110, which is lame, but you're getting most of a half point, which is good. +2.5 +101 @pinny isn't showing a very different expectation from a "perfect" +2.5 -104, which is clearly wongable. You're effectively doing a 6.5 pt tease @ -110, which is fine.

That said, I would wait until much closer to gametime to bet these line for two reasons. 1) Wongs take advantage of sharp lines, and the lines should be sharper at gametime. 2) Both teams, unless I'm missing information from today, have stars who may be out. If DeAngelo Hall is suspended a half, and Plaxico sits to rest his ankle, I'd expect these games to at least get to a normal +3, meaning you'd want no part of them, and I think they're more likely to move against you than for you.

[Jazzy3113]

Dali, you said you would be posting earlier in the week.
Have you changed your mind??

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
From the early looks there seem to be plenty of possible games to Wong coming weekend..Now would anyone have educated guesses where the lines will end up? [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

FFS. This doesn't matter. Why do people keep insisting on predicting line movements with BS teasers?

It is like the counter movement to the intelligentsia is waging jihad on my patience.

[Limpfold]

I think you misunderstand me, or maybe I misunderstand.
Take last week as example, Pittsburgh was -8.5 briefly at the beginning of the week.
It closed -9-9.5. This means you got a free 1-1.5 pt to your teaser, is that bad?

[Daliman]

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Dali, you said you would be posting earlier in the week.
Have you changed your mind??

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Eh, It looks like a few of the wongable and close to wongable games may change, but I'll take another look tonight.