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  #431  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:16 PM
teddyFBI teddyFBI is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Swapping only amounts > 1K
Posts: 3,592
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
then why has cardplayer already contacted me for an interview?

[/ QUOTE ]

  #432  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:16 PM
Spiff Spiff is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: lykkeland
Posts: 50
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
Has anyone asked Lee Jones if he (or any other PStars admins) can see the players' hole cards when he observes a table? While it might seem obviously exploitable, it wouldn't surprise me for there to be at least one 'master observer' account on every poker site. Lee?

---MM

[/ QUOTE ]

i remember a host being asked this in sundaymillion,
he answered : no, only security.
but, this was same weekend as this hole thing started
idk

one more thing ,i have been folowing this from start,
and just think every file, hh , db ,excel be uploaded,
and made available to all

and a tread where ppl can sign:
i agree 99.999% cheating happen/ed at AP ,
so people who try to get things done, can link to for 'support.

-spiff
  #433  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:17 PM
TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Henderson, Nevada
Posts: 62
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
I have already posted my arguments in the threads:
http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/poke...oms-rigged.html
http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/...nos-cheat.html
Anyway, I will briefly repeat them here:

Why would the pokerooms have an interest in cheating poker players since they earn a large and steady rake? Because if all the players had about the same poker skill, then in the long run all of the deposited money would end up to the rake. But if some players because of their skill have an edge over the rest of the players which is greater than the x% rake, e.g. (x+1)%, (in many cases the rake is lower than 5% because of bonuses, rakebacks etc), then these players would keep taking a considerable percentage of the deposited money, and only the rest would be going to the rake. But if the casino cheats these players, then the casino will keep the 100% of the deposited money. You might say the casino can simply cheat the winners. Yes, this can be the case too. But what really matters is who is or will be a winner in the long run.

Yeah, right, “they wouldn’t cheat because this would be exposed”. No, it cannot be exposed. A cheating of 1-3 out of 100 hands is perhaps enough to eliminate any edge a poker player can have after the rake (well, if not eliminate it, of course it decreases it) , and it is almost impossible to be statistically proven with a satisfactory degree of statistical certainty, even in the game of blackjack, imagine how impossible it is in the complicated game of poker.
SO SINCE IT IS THAT IMPOSSIBLE TO PROOVE SUCH A LITTLE CHEATING, THEN WHY WOULDN’T THE POKER ROOMS CHEAT A LITTLE?

But most pokerooms do not even bother to cheat little enough in order to hide it. Obviously because so far, no matter how much they increased the rate of cheating, this was not getting exposed by player communication in the forums, and because this poor way of communication is so far the only way this could be exposed. And the casinos also took care to fill up the forums with shills and affiliates who would quickly fill up the threads with many and long posts so any accusing arguments would be difficult to find or to read and think on them. The owners of the forums themselves are affiliates. The casino adverts in them prove this. Now you are accusing Absolute for cheating, like you discovered America. And even then, you tried to present it is as the work of hackers who were common players and had no association with the casino. And not a word that the other casinos might cheat as well. Implying that if any other casinos cheated, this would be immediately exposed like the case of Absolute.
Why did almost all of you attacked me as being out of my mind, that I lost because of my bad poker play, that “they have no reason to cheat”, etc etc, when I accused pokerooms of cheating? It is damn obvious that such arguments come from posters who have common interests with the casinos. The most amusing argument I read, is that it is we who have to prove that casinos cheat and not the casinos who have to prove to us they don’t cheat. Implying that without very strong statistical indications, the probability that they don’t cheat is almost 100% so we are out of our minds just because we give a considerable probability that they do cheat. Of course, the blinding obvious truth is that since they have an interest to cheat, and since it is not possible to statistically prove a little cheating, then the more probable case is that they do cheat a little, even if there were no statistical indications.

I have played thousands of hands at William Hill and Sportingbet.
But I have also played at 888.com, Ladbrokes, Grosvernor, and some others.
Some preflop hands (e.g. AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK, AQ, AJ, KQ, etc ) as well as some flop hands (e.g. flopping a top pair when having such a strong preflop hand) are bound to produce profit in the long run even after a 5% rake, if you are not the most stupid player of the world. Therefore when after many hundreds of hands, exactly because of these strong hands, you end up with great losses (compared with the money you wagered) instead of great profits, then the probability of such an extremely bad luck happening is less than 5%, perhaps much less than 1%. This is statistical evidence for cheating.
No, my losses were not because of the post blinds, as I chose to play no limit where the posts were 1/50 or 1/100 of the average pot.
No, my losses were not because of the fact that I lost much when I lost and won little when I won because of my bad play. I am not the most stupid poker player of the world. Of course this thing happened, but not because of exceptional stupid play of mine, but because of cheating or very rare bad luck. But a very rare bad luck is itself the definition of statistical evidence for cheating.

[/ QUOTE ]

holy fkn [censored] that is the dumbest post in the history of the interweb
  #434  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:18 PM
N 82 50 24 N 82 50 24 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: thepokerdb
Posts: 4,196
Default Re: lolz super accountz

Okay, I can't really expand on this, but...

At least 10 people have emailed me since this whole thing went down claiming to have access to various amounts of info.

Most of them have kinda said, oh, I talk to so-and-so at AP and I can get such and such info. They all say they want to remain confidential and that their source doesn't want to get in trouble. Most of the convos haven't gone anywhere and it basically has been like "I will be emailing you with such and such" or "I will be talking to my contact later on" but one piece of info in one of the convos has me thoroughly convinced this was an inside job. Most of the other people are supposedly about to get more info or are prying into things.

I can't say what the info was or who told me it, but I believe the guy to be credible for various reasons and I think his source sounds credible. I don't want to blow up his spot though, so that's all I can really say. I just wanted to let people know that it's VERY likely in my mind that it was an inside job and there are multiple people at AP who know exactly who did it.
  #435  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:25 PM
augie_ augie_ is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Peoria, IL
Posts: 5,720
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
Okay, I can't really expand on this, but...

At least 10 people have emailed me since this whole thing went down claiming to have access to various amounts of info.

Most of them have kinda said, oh, I talk to so-and-so at AP and I can get such and such info. They all say they want to remain confidential and that their source doesn't want to get in trouble. Most of the convos haven't gone anywhere and it basically has been like "I will be emailing you with such and such" or "I will be talking to my contact later on" but one piece of info in one of the convos has me thoroughly convinced this was an inside job. Most of the other people are supposedly about to get more info or are prying into things.

I can't say what the info was or who told me it, but I believe the guy to be credible for various reasons and I think his source sounds credible. I don't want to blow up his spot though, so that's all I can really say. I just wanted to let people know that it's VERY likely in my mind that it was an inside job and there are multiple people at AP who know exactly who did it.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is like an episode of CSI or somethin'
  #436  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:26 PM
snagglepuss snagglepuss is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: this space for gambool
Posts: 2,992
Default Re: lolz super accountz

n82,
keep up the good work

waco,
namedrop me in your cardplayer interview as "inspector chuddo" pls, thks
  #437  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:34 PM
teddyFBI teddyFBI is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Swapping only amounts > 1K
Posts: 3,592
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
Okay, I can't really expand on this, but...

At least 10 people have emailed me since this whole thing went down claiming to have access to various amounts of info.

Most of them have kinda said, oh, I talk to so-and-so at AP and I can get such and such info. They all say they want to remain confidential and that their source doesn't want to get in trouble. Most of the convos haven't gone anywhere and it basically has been like "I will be emailing you with such and such" or "I will be talking to my contact later on" but one piece of info in one of the convos has me thoroughly convinced this was an inside job. Most of the other people are supposedly about to get more info or are prying into things.

I can't say what the info was or who told me it, but I believe the guy to be credible for various reasons and I think his source sounds credible. I don't want to blow up his spot though, so that's all I can really say. I just wanted to let people know that it's VERY likely in my mind that it was an inside job and there are multiple people at AP who know exactly who did it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nat - everyone here is superbly supportive of everything you've done on this so far, so I'm sure that everyone will give you the breathing room you're asking for on this issue.

That being said, a lot of people here (myself included) lost a lot of money to these cheaters, and titillating posts like this have us curious and chomping at the bit to know what you're referring to...so if you decide that there's a way to divulge *some* info without compromising the source or what-not, I hope you choose to do so.
  #438  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:35 PM
Josem Josem is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Victoria, Australia
Posts: 4,780
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
If this is the actual number than ... lol wow. I was reading this thread and it is obvious its cheating. But adding this number lol
It would be fun to compare it to something else that is so unlikely to happen. i.e. win lottery back to back or something like it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Using Google, I tried to find something else that occurred at fifteen standard deviations. I couldn't find anything.

The Wikipedia entry on Standard Deviation lists the confidence interval of 7SD at 99.99999999974%. That is to say, that on a normally distributed data set, 99.999999999,74% of the results will be within standard deviations - or, to put it another way, 26/100,000,000,000 - twenty six in every hundred billion.

I haven't seen any calculations on the confidence interval on fifteen standard deviations, but as a reasonably intelligent layman, I estimate/guess it is something in the order of 1/1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

To put that into perspective, we're not talking about winning the lottery twice in a row (1 in a million events) - we're in the realm of talking about a random person winning a one-in-a-million lottery six consecutive times.
  #439  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:36 PM
indianaV8 indianaV8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 263
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I have already posted my arguments in the threads:
http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/poke...oms-rigged.html
http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/...nos-cheat.html
Anyway, I will briefly repeat them here:

Why would the pokerooms have an interest in cheating poker players since they earn a large and steady rake? Because if all the players had about the same poker skill, then in the long run all of the deposited money would end up to the rake. But if some players because of their skill have an edge over the rest of the players which is greater than the x% rake, e.g. (x+1)%, (in many cases the rake is lower than 5% because of bonuses, rakebacks etc), then these players would keep taking a considerable percentage of the deposited money, and only the rest would be going to the rake. But if the casino cheats these players, then the casino will keep the 100% of the deposited money. You might say the casino can simply cheat the winners. Yes, this can be the case too. But what really matters is who is or will be a winner in the long run.

Yeah, right, “they wouldn’t cheat because this would be exposed”. No, it cannot be exposed. A cheating of 1-3 out of 100 hands is perhaps enough to eliminate any edge a poker player can have after the rake (well, if not eliminate it, of course it decreases it) , and it is almost impossible to be statistically proven with a satisfactory degree of statistical certainty, even in the game of blackjack, imagine how impossible it is in the complicated game of poker.
SO SINCE IT IS THAT IMPOSSIBLE TO PROOVE SUCH A LITTLE CHEATING, THEN WHY WOULDN’T THE POKER ROOMS CHEAT A LITTLE?

But most pokerooms do not even bother to cheat little enough in order to hide it. Obviously because so far, no matter how much they increased the rate of cheating, this was not getting exposed by player communication in the forums, and because this poor way of communication is so far the only way this could be exposed. And the casinos also took care to fill up the forums with shills and affiliates who would quickly fill up the threads with many and long posts so any accusing arguments would be difficult to find or to read and think on them. The owners of the forums themselves are affiliates. The casino adverts in them prove this. Now you are accusing Absolute for cheating, like you discovered America. And even then, you tried to present it is as the work of hackers who were common players and had no association with the casino. And not a word that the other casinos might cheat as well. Implying that if any other casinos cheated, this would be immediately exposed like the case of Absolute.
Why did almost all of you attacked me as being out of my mind, that I lost because of my bad poker play, that “they have no reason to cheat”, etc etc, when I accused pokerooms of cheating? It is damn obvious that such arguments come from posters who have common interests with the casinos. The most amusing argument I read, is that it is we who have to prove that casinos cheat and not the casinos who have to prove to us they don’t cheat. Implying that without very strong statistical indications, the probability that they don’t cheat is almost 100% so we are out of our minds just because we give a considerable probability that they do cheat. Of course, the blinding obvious truth is that since they have an interest to cheat, and since it is not possible to statistically prove a little cheating, then the more probable case is that they do cheat a little, even if there were no statistical indications.

I have played thousands of hands at William Hill and Sportingbet.
But I have also played at 888.com, Ladbrokes, Grosvernor, and some others.
Some preflop hands (e.g. AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK, AQ, AJ, KQ, etc ) as well as some flop hands (e.g. flopping a top pair when having such a strong preflop hand) are bound to produce profit in the long run even after a 5% rake, if you are not the most stupid player of the world. Therefore when after many hundreds of hands, exactly because of these strong hands, you end up with great losses (compared with the money you wagered) instead of great profits, then the probability of such an extremely bad luck happening is less than 5%, perhaps much less than 1%. This is statistical evidence for cheating.
No, my losses were not because of the post blinds, as I chose to play no limit where the posts were 1/50 or 1/100 of the average pot.
No, my losses were not because of the fact that I lost much when I lost and won little when I won because of my bad play. I am not the most stupid poker player of the world. Of course this thing happened, but not because of exceptional stupid play of mine, but because of cheating or very rare bad luck. But a very rare bad luck is itself the definition of statistical evidence for cheating.

[/ QUOTE ]

holy fkn [censored] that is the dumbest post in the history of the interweb

[/ QUOTE ]

*Absolute* bull****
right?
  #440  
Old 10-15-2007, 06:38 PM
N 82 50 24 N 82 50 24 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: thepokerdb
Posts: 4,196
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Okay, I can't really expand on this, but...

At least 10 people have emailed me since this whole thing went down claiming to have access to various amounts of info.

Most of them have kinda said, oh, I talk to so-and-so at AP and I can get such and such info. They all say they want to remain confidential and that their source doesn't want to get in trouble. Most of the convos haven't gone anywhere and it basically has been like "I will be emailing you with such and such" or "I will be talking to my contact later on" but one piece of info in one of the convos has me thoroughly convinced this was an inside job. Most of the other people are supposedly about to get more info or are prying into things.

I can't say what the info was or who told me it, but I believe the guy to be credible for various reasons and I think his source sounds credible. I don't want to blow up his spot though, so that's all I can really say. I just wanted to let people know that it's VERY likely in my mind that it was an inside job and there are multiple people at AP who know exactly who did it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nat - everyone here is superbly supportive of everything you've done on this so far, so I'm sure that everyone will give you the breathing room you're asking for on this issue.

That being said, a lot of people here (myself included) lost a lot of money to these cheaters, and titillating posts like this have us curious and chomping at the bit to know what you're referring to...so if you decide that there's a way to divulge *some* info without compromising the source or what-not, I hope you choose to do so.

[/ QUOTE ]
Well, I don't think this is divulging anything that would reveal my sources, but multiple people at AP have hinted at knowing who user 363 is. In addition, one person indicated that people within AP know the relationship between the cheating accounts.
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