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  #1  
Old 08-10-2006, 02:03 AM
bruin bruin is offline
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Location: CA
Posts: 2,256
Default NL200: River a straight... overbet?

Villain is TOTAL DONK. TOTAL. Something like 61/18 and will stack off with pretty much anything. I pushed this river believing he calls with almost all two pairs and definitely all sets.

Do you guys like, or do the reverse implied odds I have against hands like T6 or JT make this a bad play?

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $404.09
CO: $114
Button: $626.15
SB: $83.70
Hero: $272.50

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG calls, 3 folds, 3 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($5, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($5, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks.

River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($5, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $16</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in $260.5</font>,
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  #2  
Old 08-10-2006, 02:52 AM
Big_Jim Big_Jim is offline
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Default Re: NL200: River a straight... overbet?

What are the chances that he would slowplay a set?

What are the chances he would slowplay two pair?

Is he REALLY gonna stack off with 78?????????

The only hand that really makes much sense that he might pay off a push is 88.

I think this is spew, although a re-raise of say, pot or slightly over pot, fold to a 4-bet seems good.
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  #3  
Old 08-10-2006, 03:09 AM
brendons31 brendons31 is offline
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Location: New Zealand
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Default Re: NL200: River a straight... overbet?

I don't like the push at all, pretty sure he doesn't have a set, he is porbaly raising preflop with a pair, and if not isn't checking flop and turn with a set. His play doesnt add up to a set at all, and he's surely not going to pay you off with 2 pr enough to make this push good. I like rerainging and porbally folding to another reraise from him.
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  #4  
Old 08-10-2006, 03:13 AM
bruin bruin is offline
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Location: CA
Posts: 2,256
Default Re: NL200: River a straight... overbet?

good points. I was too focused on the fact that he was a superdonk and would pay off and didn't think about what hands he usually has in this spot. 3-betting is mandatory I think but the overpush is bad here.
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  #5  
Old 08-10-2006, 03:45 AM
shootaa shootaa is offline
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Posts: 2,650
Default Re: NL200: River a straight... overbet?

[ QUOTE ]
What are the chances that he would slowplay a set?

What are the chances he would slowplay two pair?

Is he REALLY gonna stack off with 78?????????

The only hand that really makes much sense that he might pay off a push is 88.

I think this is spew, although a re-raise of say, pot or slightly over pot, fold to a 4-bet seems good.

[/ QUOTE ]

put in psr
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  #6  
Old 08-10-2006, 05:11 AM
Nielsio Nielsio is offline
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Posts: 10,570
Default Re: NL200: River a straight... overbet?

self-0wned
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