AJ TPTK vs. strange river c/r

[CappyAA]

This seems like a Baluga Theorem type hand, but it just played out so weird. I don't know what villain would c/r with on the river and not bet out considering I checked behind on the turn. I have no reads.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $209.60
BB: $209.10
UTG: $200.00
Hero (CO): $197.00
BTN: $367.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $6.00, BB calls $5.00

Flop: ($21) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $15.00</font>, SB calls $15.00, BB folds

Turn: ($51) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($51) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $30.00</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $100.00</font>, Hero..........

[oyvindgee]

This is pretty far from Baluga theorem but still a fold. I can't imagine an unknown at 1/2 both having a good idea about your range and be smart enough to c/r.

[Fazz86]

Yeah baluga theorem would have a J on the flop and play out from there. I still fold here I think your looking only at hands that beat u and a tiny % of beatable hands.

[Capitan23]

I think your beat, fold.

[shpanko]

He's not saying it's Baluga theorem, he's saying it similar to Baluga theorem in that he's been raised post flop.

As to the hand, I'm folding this without a good read, fish especially love going for the check raise.

[CappyAA]

Yeah I was just saying that a raise post flop usually indicates your TPTK is no good - which is similar to Baluga Theorem type thinking. What do you think villain's range is? I'd obviously call a bet if villain just bet out but I figured it was a missed draw or some underpair when he checked on the river. I guess J9 is the only hand here that really makes sense to me, but I'd still think that villain would bet out with a made hand so I didn't check behind.

[Jay Riall]

Instamuck, seriously.

[spyderracing]

Yea fold and be done with this.

[xSCWx]

[ QUOTE ]
Instamuck, seriously.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Worm75]

J9/8T both come to mind here, but as with everyone else here, against an unknown a single pair hand here is very rarely good.