100NL Intersting J10 hand tough spot on flop

[NL__Fool]

Villain is 16/3/1.5 over 1200 hands


Whats the best line to take here? On the flop after he cr me I'm putting him on a pretty narrow range, basicly
AQ,KQ,KJ,K10,1010 and poss JJ, theres also the slim possibity of a low flush draw but I cant see a low flush draw cr this flop

I'm not folding out any of those hands with a flop raise with th exception of possibly AQ and a flush draw if he has one.

If I am ahead here it's not by much
Whats my plan?


Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 7 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $109.65
BB: $184.50
UTG: $155.20
UTG+1: $102.00
MP: $134.50
Hero (CO): $100.00
BTN: $115.45

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (7 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.00</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $3.00

Flop: ($8.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6.00</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $18.00</font>, Hero ??

[Mike Kelley]

If you just take the top 3/4 of the 16% of the hands he plays you are 45/55 dog and his C/R range is probably way more polarized than this. So this is probably an insta-fold.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

96,030 games 0.005 secs 19,206,000 games/sec

Board: Th Qd Jh
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.746% 42.91% 01.84% 41202 1767.50 { JdTs }
Hand 1: 55.254% 53.41% 01.84% 51293 1767.50 { TT+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }

[Peak01]

With those stats I think you are beat here and like you said if you are ahead it is not by much. I fold bottom two here. How often does he C/R?

[NL__Fool]

[ QUOTE ]
How often does he C/R?


[/ QUOTE ]


like never

[Peak01]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
How often does he C/R?


[/ QUOTE ]


like never

[/ QUOTE ]

Insta Fold

[CalledDownLight]

how lightly does he call in the BB? Will he call 89, QJ, Q10? I usually 3bet here to like $48 and call a shove against an unknown, but with 1200 hands on him you definitely know his play well enough. If the hands you have in the OP are his whole range then I would 3bet here.