Sports betting newbie is NFL spread curious

[bmwguy525]

I haven't been betting sports for very long (only weeks actually), but I'm curious as to what advantage someone has to taking a team +1 as opposed to betting the moneyline. I've seen people taking and suggesting taking teams with the +1, but if they lose by 1 won't the bet push on most online sites?

If you're teasing the card I get it, but I don't understand why you would sacrifice the odds you get on an underdog ML if you're only adding on a seemingly meaningless 1 point.

[Jazzy3113]

You sound Bi-curious.

[bmwguy525]

Thanks for your meaningful and helpful addition to this thread.

Here:
http://birdonthemoon.com/you_win_the_prize-thumb.jpeg

[Jazzy3113]

if the game ends in a tie, you win!

[kyro]

bmwguy,

I'm now curious. Have you looked at the MLs for some of these lines to see if they are -110? I would check out the ML for a site that has Dallas -1 and Arizona -1 and see what it looks like.

[hedgie43]

It all comes down to the push frequency of the 1. On spreads of 1, the 1 pushes approximately 2.5% of the time. Of course choosing between +1 and the dog ML is dependent on the difference in odds between the two. For example, if your choice was between +1 -105 and a ML of +100, you would prefer the +1.

[Rustjive]

There's really no difference for most sites - that point you get is reflected in the money line. So you push instead of lose when your team loses by one. It's an admittedly small difference, but so is the difference from +1 +102 to moneyline +106.

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
It all comes down to the push frequency of the 1. On spreads of 1, the 1 pushes approximately 2.5% of the time. Of course choosing between +1 and the dog ML is dependent on the difference in odds between the two. For example, if your choice was between +1 -105 and a ML of +100, you would prefer the +1.

[/ QUOTE ]

duh

Now I feel dumb. This is your fault bmwguy.

[bmwguy525]

[ QUOTE ]
It all comes down to the push frequency of the 1. On spreads of 1, the 1 pushes approximately 2.5% of the time. Of course choosing between +1 and the dog ML is dependent on the difference in odds between the two. For example, if your choice was between +1 -105 and a ML of +100, you would prefer the +1.

[/ QUOTE ]
Does this then make a difference in whether a site pays or pushes on ties? If a site pushed on ties and the odds were +1 -105 / ML +105, I think I'm misunderstanding which side would be more profitable.

[hedgie43]

If a site doesn't do pushes on ties, then you aren't actually getting +1, you're getting +0.5. In that case, there would be virtually no difference between +0.5 and the ML because ties are so infrequent.

This should help you decide between the ML and the spread. It's a very useful tool.