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  #11  
Old 11-05-2007, 12:21 AM
hoppscot22 hoppscot22 is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

ya, spades are impossible... and all of the Ax draws got there.

there is really no hand that she plays this way that you can induce against. so obv
B<<<< C/F<<C/C
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  #12  
Old 11-05-2007, 12:26 AM
Schneids Schneids is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

OK my last comments on the topic:

PapaWarbucks: posts small blind $100
aldavid31: posts big blind $200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to PapaWarbucks [Jd Qs]
bshizzle: folds
Quackers: folds
St1ckman: raises $200 to $400
PapaWarbucks: raises $200 to $600
aldavid31: folds
St1ckman: calls $200
*** FLOP *** [3s 3c 5d]
PapaWarbucks: bets $200
St1ckman: calls $200
*** TURN *** [3s 3c 5d] [Td]
PapaWarbucks: bets $400
St1ckman: calls $400
*** RIVER *** [3s 3c 5d Td] [9c]
PapaWarbucks: bets $400
St1ckman: folds
PapaWarbucks collected $2595 from pot
PapaWarbucks: doesn't show hand


Against observant opponents, me betting my A7 on the river vs actnjunkie makes it easier to win a hand such as this one above, against st1ckman. Tough opponents, such as st1ckman, will often call turn bets on boards such as this one because it looks like one where I have to c-bet any two on the turn since his flop call looks like a peel. So, I can only get a K-hi to fold on this river if my river betting range isn't so polarized towards meaning "pair + or queen high -". It's the type of situation that is important to establish a diverse range of hands to prevent your play being from being predictable. None of this matters though unless you play the same people often and they remember things.
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  #13  
Old 11-05-2007, 12:46 AM
Schneids Schneids is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

I could be wrong though. I didn't mean to present my reasoning in a holier-than-thou attitude. I'm open to the possibility I'm incorrect.
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  #14  
Old 11-05-2007, 01:39 AM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

[ QUOTE ]
I could be wrong though. I didn't mean to present my reasoning in a holier-than-thou attitude. I'm open to the possibility I'm incorrect.

[/ QUOTE ]

sorry, but i can't figure out why, based on your analysis, you shouldn't just c/f the river?

Ignoring the metagame thingy for now, that is.
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  #15  
Old 11-05-2007, 01:41 AM
DeathDonkey DeathDonkey is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

Schneids sometimes I think your focus on metagame issues is overblown (hope that doesn't sound too snarky [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]) but in this thread I think you are doing great and those two hands summarize the concept really well.

-DeathDonkey
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  #16  
Old 11-05-2007, 01:48 AM
hoppscot22 hoppscot22 is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I could be wrong though. I didn't mean to present my reasoning in a holier-than-thou attitude. I'm open to the possibility I'm incorrect.

[/ QUOTE ]

sorry, but i can't figure out why, based on your analysis, you shouldn't just c/f the river?

Ignoring the metagame thingy for now, that is.

[/ QUOTE ]


because he thinks he has the best hand more often then not. and his value bet will be profitable against her current range.
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  #17  
Old 11-05-2007, 04:39 AM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

According to schneids:
"Her preflop/flop/turn actions allow me to pretty easily narrow her hand range to almost exactly K high or ace high or pair of fours, and her K high will check the river"

If this is true then c/f is best line by far obv (again, ignoring metagame).
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  #18  
Old 11-05-2007, 05:06 AM
hoppscot22 hoppscot22 is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

not if she pays off with K high and that is the majority of her range...
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  #19  
Old 11-05-2007, 05:22 AM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

[ QUOTE ]
not if she pays off with K high and that is the majority of her range...

[/ QUOTE ]

hmmm, i just stoved it. Still think you lose money on the bet, but it's closer than i'd originally thought. If she occasionally bluffs k-hi when checked to, then i guess betting is ok.
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  #20  
Old 11-05-2007, 09:49 AM
doublebluff doublebluff is offline
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Default Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400

[ QUOTE ]
It was definitely a valuebet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you bet the river with A6? What about with KQ? whats the min hand you would bet that river?
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