To bluff or not to bluff

[Newtown]

Villain is 40/12/1.5 over 150 hands.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (8 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero...

[jstill]

well all his hands are better besides 22 or 33 so really the question is will he fold 1:8. its worth a shot, its more likely u ll get a fold here I think than if the action were different since hes not likely to have A hi (which seems to always call in this spot). sucks the turn was a 7 and paired up str draws, but id fire. I think he ll have a weak flush draw or 55 and fold enough to make it worth it.

[Leader]

I don't like this pfr much.

The flop is a pretty crappy spot to be in. I think you're going to have a real hard time realizing your equity here without spewing badly.

In any case, I'd bet the river because he has some crappy FD more then 1 in 8.

[TheHip41]

fold the flop man. If he has a draw, you are losing.

[TomBrooks]

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I don't like this pfr much.

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fold the flop man.

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River bet look good. Hope he was on a flush draw and doesn't have a nine.

[mvoss]

Depending on the players behind you I think you should either fold preflop, or just limp and play for set value.

I don't think he'll fold often enough for you to bluff the river. Yes he only has to fold 1/9th of the time for you to break even, but he's calling here with a lot of hands including many A-high hands.