Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[Rustjive]

[ QUOTE ]
Chance to LOSE:
NYJ - 55% (I actually think its 65% but I dont want to cause an uproar given where the spread is)
BUF - 60%
BAL - 70%
NE - So much uncertainty depending who they start but to be conservative lets say 90%
CIN - 80%

[/ QUOTE ]

Funny numbers - you think Baltimore is a 6 point favorite in Miami? And likewise you'd take the Jets up to -4.5 in this game?

[Yowserrrs]

Rust:

like i said those % are so argumentative and the standard deviation from actual so high that to sit here trying to precisely calculate is a waste of time and I would contend fruitless.

I said if you think Miami has >45% chance to win any 2 of their remaining 5 games then you have to like this bet -500.

Ie the odds of losing two games as an even money shot is 1/4, the bet odds are like 1/6, so your basically on a freeroll for the other three games.