Shorting 100NL Hand 2: big draw, and I make a donkey call

[marchron]

Hand #1

Folded to me in the CO and I open for $3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] . . .

As I explained in the other hand, most of my gains came from winning small pots. I had no real interest in playing for my stack all the time, since I was only there to get a share of the BBJ. Thus, I tried stealing with A9s whereas I probably wouldn't if I were max-stacked. Under the circumstances, good play?

. . . both blinds call. Flop J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], checked around. Turn Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], SB checks, BB bets $10. I have $20.60 left and I call.

Yeah, pretty stupid, but I have 12 outs to at least a chop and absolutely zero fold equity. Still good?

[Alobar]

short or no, I would always open A9s in the CO

Assuming the SB folds, You are basically risking $10 to win $30 (since if you hit You are likely getting paid off for your last $10 since its such a small bet, and if you miss you are just folding) So if you've got all your outs its almost even money. Sometimes an ace will be good enough to win, and sometimes the SB will call and pad the pot. Altho sometimes your straight outs will just end up as a chop, and if the ace hits you might feel like paying him off and lose. And sometimes he wont pay you off when the T hits.

I think on whole its prolly slightly -EV