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Old 11-29-2007, 10:50 AM
grizy grizy is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
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Default Re: PL100 fullhouse reraised on turn

Dangerous assumption even at these levels.

2QQs, 6 Q8s, 1 88, and 1 89. QQ and 88 snap call all in. 89 will probably fold unless it's a fish. If you really believe all the players at 0.5/1 will call you with Q8 here over 50% of the time (what's needed to make a shove good), you should push here. But if it's a thinking player at all... Q8 is getting tossed well over 50% of the time here, even at 0.5/1 level.

EDIT: Once he potted the river his range also gets tilted toward the upper end of the range so in reality you really need significantly better than 50% chance that he's calling with Q8 to make a raise profitable. In other words, he needs to be a fish.
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