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#1
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
I'd fold w.o more information. He gives us no reason to believe he does this with anything other than like QQ+, AK.
If I feel like he can have JJ or AK more then sometimes, or if I feel like CO will come along often, then I might call and play pokers. |
#2
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
Call and check-raise babies. As a LAG with an aggro history with Villain, laying this down would be a mistake for you.
If you had raised UTG, this might be a different story. |
#3
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
Yea wtf,
Call, c-rai on low flop. |
#4
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
Why are we calling and c/rai against nits who are never just randomly squeezing anything other than a super tight range
spewy |
#5
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
19/7 isn't just a nit who doesn't randomly squeeze anything. He might not play well in LP and doesn't steal much, leading to a low PFR.
a player like sabr who plays 20/17 is very easily squeezed by a 19/7 player(he is not 12/7 and that is a huge difference). If he gave us some 3betting percentages, or blind steals, or looked at aggression factor postflop, or went to showdown percentage, I could give you a better idea of what to do, but since he doesnt I am going to assume a lot of times he could be getting played back at by even a 19/7 |
#6
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
[ QUOTE ]
If he gave us some 3betting percentages, or blind steals, or looked at aggression factor postflop, or went to showdown percentage, I could give you a better idea of what to do, but since he doesnt I am going to assume a lot of times he could be getting played back at by even a 19/7 [/ QUOTE ] I don't like to post postflop stats over a small simple since the things he does on the turn/river are over such a small sample that it doesn't mean much. But villain is definitely capable of aggressive plays like check-raising a straight draw on the flop, he's not a station. |
#7
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If he gave us some 3betting percentages, or blind steals, or looked at aggression factor postflop, or went to showdown percentage, I could give you a better idea of what to do, but since he doesnt I am going to assume a lot of times he could be getting played back at by even a 19/7 [/ QUOTE ] I don't like to post postflop stats over a small simple since the things he does on the turn/river are over such a small sample that it doesn't mean much. But villain is definitely capable of aggressive plays like check-raising a straight draw on the flop, he's not a station. [/ QUOTE ] seriously so many hands are over with before the turn 500hand sample he played maybe 75-90flops and maybe 20-30turns |
#8
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
A 19/7 isn't a super nit. This is an LP raise by LAGR42 and a cold call. He can very easily three-bet Jacks for protection / value or "bluff" AQ here. Plus, OP has a history with Villain of making very aggro plays and showed down 33 after raising UTG.
IMO, if SABR starts laying down Queens in these spots, he's gonna get OWNED big time. |
#9
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
[ QUOTE ]
IMO, if SABR starts laying down Queens in these spots, he's gonna get OWNED big time. [/ QUOTE ] This is what I was thinking too. If I opened from UTG and he 3-bet from MP, I'm probably folding. But I raised from LP, CO called, and he squeezed from the button. With my wide opening range there is no way I can fold here. The only question is whether to call or to just shove now. |
#10
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Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] IMO, if SABR starts laying down Queens in these spots, he's gonna get OWNED big time. [/ QUOTE ] This is what I was thinking too. If I opened from UTG and he 3-bet from MP, I'm probably folding. But I raised from LP, CO called, and he squeezed from the button. With my wide opening range there is no way I can fold here. The only question is whether to call or to just shove now. [/ QUOTE ] I did some math if his calling range is QQ+ AK if you shove, he needs to have 15combos of hands he folds to a shove for it to be breakeven 15combos roughly works out to 1/3rd of the time he's squeezing he's folding if his calling range is JJ+ AK, pushing is breakeven-ish if he's only squeezing with that range and never air, and +EV if there is any air in there I think with your image you'll be +EV shoving |
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