4 bet semi bluff vs. Esfandiari

[Ansky]

Aruba main event. I didn't want to post this hand originally, but I thought of a way to make it decent I think.

Villain in this hand is Antonio Esfandiari. He has been playing fairly tight overall, but against me has been pretty loose and aggro. I have been raising a lot and playing tons of pots and he has definitely take notice. Most players at the table are commenting on how crazy I am for someone who looks 12 years old.

Some background hands.

A few rounds earlier, 100/200 blinds, I open to 600 w/ about 8k behind, with ATo from the hijack. Twin-Caracas calls with about 10k behind in the CO, and Antonio raises to 2400 from the button. We both fold and Antonio tables 75 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Another hand I raise in EP w/ KQh, Antonio calls and I check/fold on a 489 2 tone board. Another hand a few rounds before, I have 53c in the BB. Twin limps utg, sb completes, I check. Flop is A48 2 tone (not my suit). ck, ck, twin bets 750, sb folds, I raise to 2200, he calls. Turn is a 7o, I shove for 6600 and twin folds. I show, and he gets pissed. Antonio sees the hand and chuckles a bit.

On to the hand.

I have T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Folds to me in MP2 I beleive, I open to 600 at 100/200 no ante with about 7800 total, twin folds and Antonio raises to 2000. Folds back to me... Antonio has about 15k total.


As far as I could tell Antonio probably felt he could give up slight edges, but nothing like some of the other live pros do (ie Hellmuth). He definitely respected my game, but thought I was a bit of a psycho LAG probably.

This may be incorrect, but at the time I beleived that Antonio was expecting me to fold or shove, and almost never call. Also, I think Antonio thinks I'm a satellite qualifier, and that I'm probably opening about 40% of hands here.

1) What is the best hand that you expect Antonio to fold if I shove?

2) How often do you expect Antonio to be raising me with air again?

3) Do you expect Antonio to feel pot comitted with Ax?

Results and my thoughts to follow.