$16 - QQ on bubble

IFoldPktOnes · #1 09-16-2007, 04:06 AM

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t400 with t25 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t6169)
Button (t3997)
Hero (t2620)
BB (t714)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
CO folds, Button raises to t3972 (All-in), Hero ?

Reads:
Button is a reg with ~6% ROI.
BB will almost always fold if I call.

plexiq · #2 09-16-2007, 05:29 AM

Close call w/ QQ, if you think BU is pushing reasonable loose. If BU is tight (pushing much less than 35% here), this may be a fold. (ICM Calculator Results)

benneh · #3 09-16-2007, 05:39 AM

this is actually a question? i insta call this every single time.

IFoldPktOnes · #4 09-16-2007, 07:04 AM

I don't think a mediocre reg is pushing as often as he should here.

[ QUOTE ]
this is actually a question?

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm no expert but that looks like a statement with a question mark attached.

freeucm · #5 09-16-2007, 07:06 AM

88 would be different lol

Lahmshuffle · #6 09-16-2007, 09:43 AM

insta-snap call you hold teh third best hand...stop those threads even if he comes up with KK and AA this is just unlucky..

sence25 · #7 09-16-2007, 11:25 AM

this is NO instacall.
i don't have an icm programm on this computer, but i expect this to be pretty close.
shortie is so short that it would be a desaster, if villain's holding includes an ace or a king.

sence25 · #8 09-16-2007, 11:53 AM

hum and button can't really push ATC here, since BB has to call everytime we fold, which makes it even harder.

marand · #9 09-16-2007, 12:56 PM

[ QUOTE ]
this is actually a question? i insta call this every single time.

[/ QUOTE ]

According to ICM it is a call against a 40% pushing range, but a fold against a 30% pushing range. Since BB is forced to call if we fold BTN should not be pushing too wide.

I think most people dont push wide enough for this call to be +EV, but it is close enough that I wouldn´t blame anyone for calling either.

Erreek · #10 09-16-2007, 01:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
this is NO instacall.
i don't have an icm programm on this computer, but i expect this to be pretty close.
shortie is so short that it would be a desaster, if villain's holding includes an ace or a king.

[/ QUOTE ]

So if he would show us he had K2 off, we'd fold the queens?