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  #1  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:33 PM
1C5 1C5 is offline
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Default Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

This is what I think anyway.

Calling ranges seem to have gone way down and many times there are 300/600 blinds with 8 players left= crapshoot.
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  #2  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:37 PM
nthn2fancy nthn2fancy is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

i agree, i think i am moving to pokerstars. gonna lose my extras but oh well.
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  #3  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:38 PM
Newt_Buggs Newt_Buggs is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

I still haven't played since the changes but the reasons that you list seem like they would impact ROI much more than variance. Are you suggesting that ROI will be lower which will lead to worse downswings?
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  #4  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:39 PM
wpr101 wpr101 is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

I don't think it increases variance that much. I have never seen the blinds at 300/600 with 8 people. It's important to adapt to the new structure. Can you explain further why it would increase variance?
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  #5  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:40 PM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

[ QUOTE ]
i agree, i think i am moving to pokerstars. gonna lose my extras but oh well.

[/ QUOTE ]

The slow $11s from my sample of nine tourneys seem to be utterly simple. My longest one was only 67 mins and second longest was 62 mins so they are still going to be quicker and easier than stars.

Lori
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  #6  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:41 PM
GreekHouse GreekHouse is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

[ QUOTE ]
Can you explain further why it would increase variance?

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't. But it might increase your downswings and RoR. The reason is that the shorter structure will almost certainly decrease your ROI.
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  #7  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:41 PM
meleader2 meleader2 is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

[ QUOTE ]
This is what I think anyway.

Calling ranges seem to have gone way down and many times there are 300/600 blinds with 8 players left= crapshoot.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is not a problem if you have good ring play. shoving is not an option anymore, bet 2/3 the pot consistently! they call with 2nd pair. it's ridiculous. they never believe ur 800t raise when the blinds are 100t.

fold early on to the dreaded min raise! ak isn't that good.
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  #8  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:42 PM
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

[ QUOTE ]
i agree, i think i am moving to pokerstars. gonna lose my extras but oh well.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's almost the same structure, but at PS you get less starting chips (1500).
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  #9  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:43 PM
ZeeJustin ZeeJustin is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

If you finish 1/2/3 x/y/z % in both turbos and regulars, your swings will be the same in each.

The only way the OP would make sense is if he is arguing ROI would be lower (which is most likely correct).
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  #10  
Old 02-22-2006, 10:43 PM
pooh74 pooh74 is offline
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Default Re: Prediction: Swings will be crazy at the speeds

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i agree, i think i am moving to pokerstars. gonna lose my extras but oh well.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's almost the same structure, but at PS you get less starting chips (1500).

[/ QUOTE ]

haha! Don't like new friends? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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