Is this a bluffing situation?

[brian8065]

Villain is 28/6. This is his first attempt to steal blinds.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($67.95)
Button :#A500AF(Villain)/ ($49.25)
SB ($109.90)
Hero ($78.45)
UTG ($31.05)
UTG+1 ($25.30)
MP1 ($43.35)
MP2 ($32.30)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button :#A500AF(Villain)/ raises to $1.75</font>, SB calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.25.

Flop: ($5.25) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets $3.5</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $3.50.

Turn: ($12.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets $7</font>, Hero calls $7.

River: ($26.25) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets $17</font>,

Is this a bluffing situation. The reason I ask is what hand would you raise with pre-flop, and all the way, and not just check it on the river?

[Angrymoog]

Overpair.

Didn't know if you wanted crit on the hand, but I usually fold preflop, fold flop.

[Harry Fong]

AA, KK or any decent over pair.

Fold the flop.

Definitely fold the turn, pot odds is giving you $3 and i dont think the implied odds justify $7

[brian8065]

I usually fold something like this preflop too, but not this time.

On the flop I thought it could be a blind steal situation, so I waited for one more card.

The turn helped, so I looked at one more card again.

I am a 18/7 player with a winrate of 2PTBB/100

[brian8065]

Would AA or KK raise $17 on the river?

[Harry Fong]

Doesn't matter, don't get your self in those situations end of story.

Every stage was a clear fold...

[brian8065]

This is what I did.

The only hands that make sense for him to bet $17 ON THE RIVER are a bluff, a full house or a straight. There is nobody that raises with AA, KK or any other overpair. If I did a poll on his hand and asked should I bet or check, it would come out 99% check. This is a very scary board against a big blind.

Most of the hands that make sense to bet $17 with on the River do not make sense at the beginning of the hand. Certainly he could have had a low pair, or A5, but the chances of him having this are really low.

When he bet the river like he did, I thought he didn't think he had me beat, and had to move me off a hand. It was such a crazy bet.

I Pushed all in. He had $20 left, and instantly folded.

[Harry Fong]

Nice move but i still think it is a -EV one even with your read.

[Angrymoog]

I believe you will lose a lot of money by making these superstar plays.

[brian8065]

Thanks

I really appriciate your responses