AJ - Stack Decision on Flop

FatedEquity · #1 09-07-2007, 02:08 AM

PokerStars $0.50/$1.00 No-Limit Hold'em - 5 players
Hand Converter Tool from DeucesCracked.com

SB: $157.25
BB: $19.00
UTG: $139.60
CO: $100.00
Button: $108.50

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG folds, CO folds, Button raises to $4, Hero raises to $14, BB folds, Button calls $10.

Flop: ($29.00) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $18, Button raises to $94.50 (all in), Hero...

Villain is a 15/13 tag, generally straight-forward. I'm getting okay odds, but I don't think he's shoving with too many hands that I'm ahead.

DeathDonkey · #2 09-07-2007, 04:18 AM

He has to have exactly KQ of hearts for you to be ahead IMO so easy fold. Raise it more preflop or just fold if he doesn't steal alot.

-DeathDonkey

Neko · #3 09-07-2007, 11:07 AM

in general against a 15/13 you're probably in trouble here equity wise. This is a nice pokerstove excercise for you FatedEquity. Since you only have call and fold options, you should be able to assign your opponent a range and figure out whether you should be calling or not.

DD, you've said before that you play a pretty laggy style...I think you can make a pretty strong argument for folding AJ here pf against this nit but if the button was 25/18 or 30/20 or something, are ever cold calling here pf? What about AJs?

DeathDonkey · #4 09-07-2007, 12:18 PM

AJs could see a coldcall maybe. I would reraise the guys you mention unless I thought they had those stats AND were really tough smart guys. I never play/played high enough stakes NL where that was generally the case but every now and then there was a guy on a bunch of my tables who seemed to be too good for me to want to play AJo OOP.

LAGgy style is great but I play most of my pots in position [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-DeathDonkey