San Francisco @ Colorado 4/17

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Play: SanFrancisco +100 (5dimes)

SF (4-7) has won 3 of their last 4. Colorado (5-8) has lost 5 of their last 6. Two clubs possibly going in opposite directions.

SF sends Matt Cain out. He has two starts, both against SD and Chris Young. Combined line: 13 Inn 4ER 6H 10K 8G/21F. The second game was an 0-1 loss. Cain is pitching above average. The only danger in betting Cain here is the high Flyball ratio, which isn't great in Coors, but fortunately the opposing pitcher, Hirsh, is just as bad.

Colorado sends Hirsh out. Two starts: 11 2/3Inn 4ER 12H 11K 9G/15F.

I'd take Cain over Hirsh on any field. And you get Cain at even money. I think SF has a greater than 50% chance of winning with Cain, so there is some value here.

Good luck.