$22 multi....bad push?

nbt23 · #1 07-29-2007, 02:43 PM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP3 (t16170)
CO (t7388)
Button (t26114)
SB (t7938)
BB (t10652)
UTG (t13664)
UTG+1 (t13591)
MP1 (t18410)
Hero (t7450)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, MP1 calls t800, Hero raises to t7375, 5 folds, MP1 calls t6575.

Flop: (t15350) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)

Turn: (t15350) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)

River: (t15350) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)

Final Pot: t15350

nbt23 · #2 07-29-2007, 02:44 PM

It seems like everytime I get shortstacked I'll pick up a hand like AQ, AJ, or 99 and someone will limp ahead. I push only to find that the guy has AA. Was this a bad push?

ItalianFX · #3 07-29-2007, 03:07 PM

You'd definitely like to take the pot down right here. You're in push/fold mode so a smaller raise is out of the question.

I did an cEV calculation and I get +1307.5 so this is a good push.

I figured that he limps with top 20%, but calls a push with top 10%.

MP2 folds 50%, we win 800+400+675+800 = 2675.
50% * 2675 = 1337.5

MP2 calls 50% of the time with 10%:

44% he calls we win 2675 + 6575 = 9250
44% * 50% = 22% * 9250 = 2035

56% he calls we lose 7375
56% * 50% = 28% * 7375 = 2065

1337.5 + 2035 - 2065 = +1307.5

(PLEASE CHECK MY MATH)

FGators · #4 07-29-2007, 03:11 PM

super standard push. Guys will limp with Ax, small pairs, suited connectors, etc.

You are being results oriented.

LSgambler · #5 07-30-2007, 01:03 AM

Push. No other good way to play this.

wulfpacker21 · #6 07-30-2007, 01:07 AM

[ QUOTE ]
It seems like everytime I get shortstacked I'll pick up a hand like AQ, AJ, or 99 and someone will limp ahead. I push only to find that the guy has AA. Was this a bad push?

[/ QUOTE ]

cause your push is so big that .. thats the only hand that will call you

SuperUberBob · #7 07-30-2007, 01:36 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Push. No other good way to play this.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT. Players love limping with weak aces and small pairs. It's rare that you'll see a slowplayed big pair.