Can I fold to this river raise?

NL__Fool · #1 01-08-2007, 02:03 AM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($173.45)
BB ($125.20)
UTG ($92.90)
MP1 ($88.10)
MP2 ($23.35)
CO ($94.85)
Button ($67.30)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
4 folds, Button calls $1, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($3) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, Button bets $2, Hero calls $2, BB calls $2.

Turn: ($9) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, Button checks.

River: ($9) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $4, BB raises to $12, Button folds, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $25

Praetor · #2 01-08-2007, 02:03 AM

yes

BobAllinSki · #3 01-08-2007, 08:31 AM

No - its $8 to call in a pot of $25, you dont even need to win 25% of the time to call here, hes gonna have a bluff or a smaller flush often enough to justify your call

GoldenIP · #4 01-08-2007, 08:44 AM

def-call

deaders · #5 01-08-2007, 08:48 AM

no you can save yourself $8 here, you arent winning 25% of the time on a double paired board.

kazana · #6 01-08-2007, 08:49 AM

I highly doubt you're ahead often enough here to make that call.

catalyst · #7 01-08-2007, 09:00 AM

[ QUOTE ]
no you can save yourself $8 here, you arent winning 25% of the time on a double paired board.

[/ QUOTE ]

He would need a higher % of winning than this.
Seems like a standard fold.

cubaman · #8 01-08-2007, 09:04 AM

fold²!!!
calling is like making an interaccount transfer^^

BobAllinSki · #9 01-08-2007, 10:08 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
no you can save yourself $8 here, you arent winning 25% of the time on a double paired board.

[/ QUOTE ]

He would need a higher % of winning than this.
Seems like a standard fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope, its 25 in the pot & $8 to call, hence your odds are 3.125-1 and you need to win 24.24% of the time to break even.

I missed the paired board, its a slight fold but by no means is a call really bad, the action is weak and you will catch a bluff here fairly often.

beardedwhale · #10 01-08-2007, 12:09 PM

Why not lead flop?