hows my line? PLO $100

[jipster]

CO ($51.90)
Button ($34.60)
Hero ($107.45)
BB ($114.40)
UTG ($53.75)
UTG+1 ($81.25)
UTG+2 ($61.55)
MP1 ($63.30)
MP2 ($99)

ANTES/BLINDS
Hero posts blind ($1), BB posts blind ($1).


PRE-FLOP : Hero has Ks10s9hQh
UTG calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $1, MP2 folds, CO folds, Button folds, Hero checks, BB checks.

FLOP: 8h 5c Jh
Hero bets $5, BB folds, UTG calls $5, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds.

TURN: 4s
Hero bets $15, UTG calls $15.

RIVER: 5h
Hero bets $30, UTG folds.

I had a brain freeze on the river and didn't see the paired board; but lets assume i was value betting (or bluffing)!

opponent is 25/3.5 i have 500 odd hands on him; he's surprisingly aggressive on later streets tho; but a net loser BB/100 of -28.8

[sqwisssssss]

villan was drawing and missed........possibly made a lower flush on river too but your bet scared him off.

check call the river next time......he might try to bet at it......... or bet 20.

[herbstl]

If UTG made a flush he would have called the 30$ anyway - I think he had a str8 draw/2p hand. I c/c the river here.

[GoldenIP]

Yeah he definitely whiffed by the river but as sqwisssss said, c/c river.

FWIW, I think your position (SB) with that flop and that no. of villains behind you is the perfect situation for an attempted c/r. I don't think c/r or leading the flop is better or worse than the other but it's certainly a good opportunity. If they all check behind, so be it, you've got eleventy billion outs to improve.

[darkcore]

yeah, i'd check call against such a villian. you bet flop, turn and river. villian has no reason to not put a set in your range.

[CrushinFelt]

I pretty much disagree with every post above me. It's clear he's on a draw and I'd be fairly sure that your river bet was a bluff (it's possible he had the 10 high flush but majority of the time I'm going to guess not).

I definitely go for a flop c/r OOP here to try and make sure someone with just the NFD has a harder time tagging along.

[Elrazor]

i like your line here - if you try to c/r at any point it might backfire as UTG is so short you probably have neither any fold equity or showdown value, as his A high is 'in front'

by betting out you can dictate the size of the pot by representing trips, so you have 1 final PSB on the river to bluff it if you miss - NH WP