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  #1  
Old 05-17-2007, 01:58 PM
bluffbetter bluffbetter is offline
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Default NL TRN ($11+0.50)Decent draw - Think I should have folded?

This is probably a very basic question, but I'll ask anyway.

This player has a 25% ROI on sharkscope over alot of games and had not done anything crazy so far.

I think I should have folded but I'm not exactly sure why, but it turns out I had the odds to call even though he had one diamond and an overpair, but I guess part of his range here is a set or A4/K4 diamonds.

In the actual hand i had 41.72% with 0.91% ties. And my call was 41.07%.

And if he had 77 with one diamond I would have been 54.04% favourite with no ties. And vs 44 one diamond with straight draw I would have been 58.89% favourite with o.61% ties.
But against a set of fives with no diamonds I was only 32.93% with 0.91% ties.

And vs AK diamonds fo a highr flush draw plus current best hand I would have been only 26.57% with 0.91% ties.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (2 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button (t1740)
Hero (t1260)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t90</font>, Hero calls t60.

Flop: (t180) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t135</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t1650</font>, Hero calls t1035 (All-In).

Turn: (t3000) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

River: (t3000) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t3000

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has 8d 9d (high card, king).
Button has Td Ts (three of a kind, tens).
Outcome: Button wins t3000. </font>
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  #2  
Old 05-17-2007, 02:04 PM
MasterLJ MasterLJ is offline
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Default Re: NL TRN ($11+0.50)Decent draw - Think I should have folded?

You actually have good enough odds to call here.
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  #3  
Old 05-17-2007, 04:23 PM
soop soop is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 154
Default Re: NL TRN ($11+0.50)Decent draw - Think I should have folded?

Nah this is a call. You have odds even if his range is only pairs and ace-high flush draws.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.876% 43.45% 00.43% 27960 274.50 { 9d8d }
Hand 1: 56.124% 55.70% 00.43% 35841 274.50 { 33+, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d }
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